Capital allocation has been reactive rather than compounding: serial losses funded by equity ATM issuance in 2024, a high‑dilution 2025 debt exchange, and reliance on secured PIK financing.
Management is now pruning footprint (China exit), subleasing HQ space, and cutting opex, which are sensible moves but are corrective rather than value‑accretive, and come after several years of overexpansion. Share count has risen and will expand substantially following the exchange, diluting existing holders.
We see limited evidence of high‑return reinvestment opportunities until the core unit economics improve.







