Aon (AON) is a good quality business scoring 72/100, with particular strength in earnings predictability and capital allocation. The business has solid fundamentals but falls short of elite quality on some measures.
Aon shows a solid competitive position with decent competitive positioning. However, some vulnerability to competitive pressure suggests the moat, while present, may face challenges. The business earns above-average returns but lacks the exceptional durability of the strongest moats.
Aon demonstrates moderate pricing power. The company maintains healthy margins and has been able to grow revenue without significant margin compression. Encouragingly, margins have been expanding. This suggests reasonable, though not exceptional, ability to pass costs through to customers.
Aon is a highly predictable business with remarkably consistent financial performance. Revenue growth has been steady with low volatility, and the company has delivered positive free cash flow in 8 of the last 8 years. This consistency makes future earnings relatively easy to forecast with confidence.
Aon has a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio of 2.11x warrants monitoring. The balance sheet could face stress in an economic downturn. Management should prioritize debt reduction to strengthen the company's resilience.
Aon demonstrates excellent capital allocation, averaging 19.6% return on capital while reducing shares outstanding through buybacks. Management deploys capital at rates well above the cost of capital, creating significant value for shareholders.
The allocation between reinvestment, buybacks, and dividends appears disciplined and shareholder-friendly.
Aon has competent management that delivers acceptable results. Returns on capital are reasonable and operations run efficiently. While not exceptional, the management team maintains a steady hand and does not appear to be making value-destructive decisions.

Predicted probability of operating margin improvement over the next 12 months
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Is Aon a good investment at $321?
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