sw

Stanley Black & Decker

SWK
NYSE
$70.26

How predictable is Stanley Black & Decker's business?

Stanley Black & Decker's predictability score of 47/100 indicates significant volatility and challenges in forecasting its future financial performance. The company's top-line has struggled, with a 3-year revenue CAGR of -1.1%, suggesting inconsistent growth and susceptibility to market fluctuations.

More critically, the company's TTM Net Income of $0.63B on $34.53B in revenue translates to an extremely thin TTM Net Margin of 1.8%. Such low margins amplify the impact of operational changes or economic downturns, making earnings highly sensitive and difficult to predict.

The most concerning aspect is the deeply negative TTM Free Cash Flow of -$0.84B, corresponding to a -2.4% FCF Margin. This indicates that SWK is consuming, rather than generating, cash after capital expenditures, creating substantial uncertainty around its ability to fund future operations, debt, or shareholder returns.

This level of cash flow instability is a strong indicator of low predictability, particularly for a company in the cyclical industrial sector.