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Texas Pacific Land Corporation

TPL
NYSE
$313.43
80
Good

Royalty Tollbooth on the Permian, Cash-Rich and Capital-Light but Cyclical

Texas Pacific Land is a unique royalty, surface-use and water-rights platform tied to the Permian Basin. Its asset-light model converts industry activity into very high-margin cash flows with minimal operating risk.

The company controls roughly 874,000 surface acres and approximately 207,000 net royalty acres, plus nonparticipating perpetual royalty interests, giving it durable advantages that are extremely difficult to replicate.

Over the last four quarters through June 30, 2025, Texas Pacific Land generated about 523 million dollars in operating cash flow and spent roughly 33 million dollars on capital expenditures, implying TTM free cash flow near 489 million dollars and free cash flow per diluted share of about 21.3 dollars.

Balance sheet risk is minimal with 544 million dollars of cash and no financial debt disclosed, while regulatory developments around produced water disposal and TPL’s desalination initiative create both risks and new opportunities.

published on October 8, 2025 (93 days ago)

Does Texas Pacific Land have a strong competitive moat?

85
Good

Texas Pacific Land’s moat rests on irreplaceable land and mineral interests concentrated in the highest-quality U.S. oil basin. The company owns about 874,000 surface acres and roughly 207,000 net royalty acres, plus nonparticipating perpetual royalty interests, enabling it to collect royalties and surface-use fees across well life cycles.

Efficient scale and location advantages restrict credible entrants. Additional moats include switching frictions for operators who need contiguous rights of way, easements, water access and produced-water solutions.

Risks to moat durability come from (a) basin activity cyclicality, (b) regulatory constraints on disposal that could shift fee mix, and (c) potential long-term technology changes in water handling that compress rents. Net, the combination of intangible assets and efficient scale merits a strong but not near-perfect moat score.

Does Texas Pacific Land have pricing power in its industry?

72
Good

Oil and gas royalties participate in commodity prices and volumes rather than explicit pricing power. However, surface and easement revenues, along with certain water-related fees, reflect the company’s ability to charge for access to its land.

Produced water royalties are fee-based and not directly tied to commodity prices, giving partial insulation. Overall pricing latitude is real in surface and water, but the aggregate portfolio remains exposed to commodity and activity levels, keeping this below the very top tier.

How predictable is Texas Pacific Land's business?

60
Average

Revenue durability benefits from broad Permian development, but top line is still driven by producer activity and realized commodity prices. The EIA projects U.S. output at record levels and continued Permian growth into 2025–2026, which supports volumes, though price volatility can swing cash flows.

Water handling needs continue to rise with produced-water volumes, adding a secular tailwind. These positives are offset by regulatory tightening on saltwater disposal that may alter mix and timing. Predictability is solid but not in the tollbooth class of global networks.

Is Texas Pacific Land financially strong?

95
Excellent

TPL operates with no reported financial debt, substantial cash, and very low capital intensity. As of June 30, 2025 cash and equivalents were about 544 million dollars vs total liabilities of ~116 million dollars, and TTM net margin approximated 62 percent.

The model scales with minimal maintenance capex, providing high free cash conversion and resilience. The balance sheet easily covers dividends and opportunistic capital returns while retaining flexibility for targeted mineral and surface acquisitions.

How effective is Texas Pacific Land's capital allocation strategy?

70
Good

We view capital allocation as solid with some tradeoffs. In 2024 TPL deployed ~396 million dollars to acquire mineral interests and 45 million dollars for surface assets, while also paying a 10 dollar per share special dividend and regular quarterly dividends.

Share repurchases were modest at ~29 million dollars in 2024 and none in 1H25, and management has articulated a 700 million dollar cash target before leaning into incremental buybacks or specials. The mix shows prudence and balance-sheet conservatism, though some investors may prefer heavier repurchases at prudent valuations.

Does Texas Pacific Land have high-quality management?

70
Good

Leadership has executed the corporate reorganization, expanded monetization avenues, and navigated shareholder disputes. The Delaware Supreme Court’s 2024 decision affirmed the company’s position in litigation with the Investor Group, reducing governance overhang.

We would like to see continued transparency around long-term capital return pacing and clearer hurdle frameworks for acquisitions and desalination investments, but overall stewardship appears competent and aligned.

Good

Is Texas Pacific Land a quality company?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation is a good quality company with a quality score of 80/100

80
Good
  • Irreplicable asset base: about 874,000 surface acres in West Texas and ~207,000 net royalty acres, plus long-lived 1/16 and 1/128 NPRIs, underpin a high-margin, capital-light model.
  • Cash machine with minimal capex: TTM OCF ~522.8 million dollars and capex ~33.4 million dollars through Q2 2025 yield TTM FCF near 489 million dollars; quarterly dividend paid and special dividend in 2024 signal capacity to return capital.
  • Multiple monetization levers: oil and gas royalties, easements/SLEM, water sales and produced water royalties; produced water royalties are fee-based and not directly impacted by commodity prices.
  • Regulatory and seismicity headwinds on disposal wells are rising, but Texas is enabling produced-water recycling pilots; TPL is building a 10,000 bpd desalination facility targeting late 2025 service.
  • Governance backdrop stabilized after Delaware Supreme Court affirmed TPL’s position in 2024 litigation; company targets ~700 million dollars cash threshold for opportunistic buybacks and specials.

What is the fair value of Texas Pacific Land stock?

Is Texas Pacific Land a good investment at $313?

$313.43
Important Disclaimer:

The following analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The opinions expressed are based on publicly available information and historical data. Beanvest and its contributors may hold positions in the securities mentioned. Investors should conduct their own due diligence or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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