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Fox

NASDAQ: FOXA · USD

Fox (FOXA) Economic Moat Analysis—

Avantages concurrentiels, preuves datées et risques d’érosion.

Analyse à actualiser

Narrow avantage concurrentiel

FOX has a narrow intangible-assets moat from differentiated news brands, live sports rights and established distribution. Realized advertising and affiliate-rate increases demonstrate pricing power despite subscriber and ratings declines. Tubi's engagement growth supports adaptation, but does not establish network effects. Rights costs, audience fragmentation and distributor bargaining constrain durability. The proposed Roku acquisition remains potential.

Intangible assets

Recognizable news brands and contracted live sports programming attract audiences that distributors and advertisers pay to reach. Reported rate increases, digital engagement and multiyear rights and affiliation agreements substantiate commercial differentiation beyond management's brand assertions.

Durabilité
Multiyear programming and distribution arrangements support continuity, including the disclosed 11-year NFL agreement beginning in 2023. Durability is bounded by rights renewal economics, an NFL termination right after the 2029 season and changing audience preferences; exceptional long-term protection is not established.
Concurrents
Comparaison non établie
Risques d’érosion
FOX has experienced network subscriber and ratings declines. Sports rights and production costs consume part of pricing gains, while digital advertising competition and distributor consolidation pressure bargaining power. Tubi's growth mitigates distribution erosion without proving a separate structural moat.
Ce qui invaliderait la thèse
The thesis would fail if successive comparable periods showed realized affiliate or advertising rate deterioration alongside audience losses, if major rights expired or terminated without commercially effective replacement, or if digital engagement and monetization ceased offsetting linear erosion while programming costs persistently outgrew related revenue.
Preuves (10) · Contre-preuves (6)

Évolution depuis la dernière analyse

  • Retain the previous narrow verdict; realized affiliate-rate increases provide additional explicit support for pricing power.
  • Add criterion-level assessments using actual compensation grants, August 2026 vesting and disclosed governance arrangements.
  • Retain Roku as a conditional transaction and explicitly weigh its financing commitments and termination exposure in capital discipline.

Limites de l’analyse

  • Only supplied issuer passages were used. Source dates are filing dates: filing-1 August 6, 2026; filing-2 May 11, 2026; filing-3 September 17, 2026; filing-4 August 6, 2025; filing-5 August 8, 2024; filing-6 February 4, 2026. They are not retrieval or independently established publication dates.
  • Competitive disclosures identify generic categories. Named compensation peers, suppliers, investments and transaction counterparties do not establish operating competitor coverage; the competitors array is therefore empty.
  • Brand leadership and FOX One performance against undisclosed expectations are issuer assertions. Reported operating results and contractual terms support numerical assessments, but no criterion establishes exceptional durability.
  • No demonstrated network effects, structural cost advantage or efficient-scale protection is established. Tubi engagement growth does not prove individual-user retention or switching costs.
  • Pricing gains are reported without a complete price-volume-mix bridge. Advertising cycles, sports schedules and audience changes complicate comparisons; FOX Nation revenue per subscriber does not isolate list-price changes.
  • The supplied proxy supports compensation and governance assessment, but does not establish comprehensive executive beneficial ownership or independent verification of board effectiveness.

Indicateurs financiers à confronter à la thèse

Ratios calculés à partir des publications annuelles. Une valeur manquante reste indisponible. Les graphiques détaillés sont accessibles dans les autres onglets.

Indicateurs financiers à confronter à la thèse
PériodeGross marginOperating marginROICFCF margin
2022———11.3%
2023———9.7%
2024———10.7%
2025———18.4%
2026———8.6%

Pouvoir de fixation des prix—

Données vérifiées insuffisantes pour attribuer un score.

Management—

Données vérifiées insuffisantes pour attribuer un score.

Sources et méthode

Analyse à actualiser · Mis à jour 18/10/2026 · Version 10

Interprétation IA fondée sur des extraits vérifiés. Les déclarations de l’entreprise et les limites de couverture restent explicites.

Méthode quality-scores-2 : six catégories de même poids. Le score global exige une couverture complète. Les données manquantes ne valent pas zéro. Les évaluations qualitatives sont des interprétations sourcées, pas des probabilités. 1/6 · 24/10/2026

Moat—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Pouvoir de fixation des prix—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Prévisibilité91

Five consecutive annual periods. Equal weights: nondeclining revenue frequency; revenue-growth volatility (5–40pp); positive FCF frequency; FCF-margin volatility (3–20pp). Stability indicator, not a growth forecast.

Nondeclining revenue years (%)
75.00
Revenue growth volatility (pp)
8.11
Positive FCF years (%)
100.00
FCF margin volatility (pp)
3.45

Solidité financière—

Missing required inputs: netDebtEbitGrade. Equal-weight grades: debt/FCF (1–8x), net debt/earnings before interest and tax (0–5x), interest service (1–12x), current ratio (0.75–2x). Earnings use reported operating income, or reported pretax profit plus reported interest expense when operating income is unavailable. Interest service uses earnings/interest expense; if unavailable, it uses reported operating cash flow/cash interest paid, without relabeling cash paid as accrued expense. Nonpositive cash flow/earnings score 0 for their service component; reported zero interest with a positive numerator scores 100. Net cash scores 100 for net leverage. Missing disclosures remain unavailable. General nonfinancial-company rubric, not a credit rating; exceptional and nonoperating gains are not normalized out. IFRS finance-cost and cash-flow classifications retain their reported scope.

debtFcfGrade
50.00
interestCoverageGrade
51.64
currentRatioGrade
100.00
Debt / FCF (x)
4.50
Current ratio (x)
3.17

Allocation du capital—

Missing required inputs: operatingReturn, dilution. Three-year equal-weight indicators: pretax return on average invested capital (0–25%; equity + debt − cash, each year and its prior year), share-count growth (0–5%, lower better), share-based cost/revenue (2–20%, lower better), consolidated FCF/net income (0–1x). Return uses reported operating income or, if unavailable, EBIT calculated from reported pretax profit plus reported interest expense; exceptional/nonoperating gains are not normalized out. Share-based cost uses the reported cash-flow add-back or, if absent, separately reported recognized compensation expense; the latter never becomes an FCF adjustment. Nonpositive net income scores 0 for cash conversion; absent income/FCF stays unavailable. Nonpositive invested capital has no defined return and remains unavailable. Does not establish acquisition quality or buyback timing.

3-year average SBC / revenue (%)
0.75
cashConversionGrade
100.00

Qualité du management—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Preuves

The Company differentiates itself in a crowded media and entertainment marketplace through the leadership positions of its brands and premium programming that focus on live and “appointment-based” content, a significant presence in major markets and broad distribution of its content across traditional and digital 2 platforms, including FOX One, the Company’s wholly-owned, direct-to-consumer subscription streaming service.

Business: issuer description of differentiation through brands, live content and distribution · Dépôt 06/08/2026

Effective with the 2023 NFL season, FOX Sports entered into an expanded 11-year media rights agreement with the NFL (subject to an NFL one-time termination right after the 2029 season) that extended FOX Sports' coverage of NFL games.

Business: NFL agreement duration and termination right · Dépôt 06/08/2025

Such agreements typically run three or more years and have staggered expiration dates.

Business: typical affiliation agreement duration and staggered expiration · Dépôt 06/08/2025

These affiliation agreements require affiliated stations to carry the FOX Network programming in all time periods in which the FOX Network programming is offered to those affiliated stations, subject to certain exceptions stated in the affiliation agreements.

Business: affiliated stations' programming carriage obligations · Dépôt 06/08/2025

Distribution revenue increased $82 million or 4% as higher average rates per subscriber were partially offset by a decrease in the average number of subscribers.

MD&A: six-month cable distribution revenue, realized subscriber rates and subscriber decline · Dépôt 04/02/2026

The increase of $31 million or 7% in advertising revenue was primarily due to higher news and sports pricing partially offset by lower ratings.

MD&A: quarterly advertising growth from news and sports pricing despite lower ratings · Dépôt 04/02/2026

The decrease of $364 million or 6% in advertising revenue was primarily due to the approximately $435 million impact related to sports programming led by the absence of the February 2025 broadcast of Super Bowl LIX partially offset by the broadcast of additional NFL and Major League Baseball (“MLB”) postseason games and higher pricing.

MD&A: nine-month advertising changes, sports calendar and higher pricing · Dépôt 11/05/2026

The remaining impact was primarily due to continued digital growth led by the Tubi AVOD service and higher news pricing, partially offset by lower political advertising revenue due to the absence of the 2024 presidential and congressional elections and lower news ratings.

MD&A: digital growth, higher news pricing and lower news ratings · Dépôt 11/05/2026

•In fiscal 2026, Tubi delivered record revenues, which grew over 25% compared to the prior fiscal year led by higher engagement from its over 100 million monthly active users.

Fiscal 2026 business review: Tubi revenue growth, engagement and monthly active users · Dépôt 17/09/2026

Tubi total view time was approximately 13.2 billion hours over the course of fiscal 2026, a record and an increase of 20% over fiscal 2025.

Fiscal 2026 business review: Tubi viewing hours and annual growth · Dépôt 17/09/2026

As described above, changes in technology and consumer behavior have contributed to industry-wide declines in the number of subscribers to MVPD services over the last several years, which have had a negative impact on the number of subscribers to the Company’s networks.

Risk factors: realized negative impact on subscribers to FOX networks · Dépôt 06/08/2025

This has caused ratings and viewership declines for television networks, including some of our networks.

Risk factors: realized ratings and viewership declines at some FOX networks · Dépôt 06/08/2026

Operating expenses increased $72 million or 5% primarily due to higher sports programming rights amortization and production costs led by expanded international soccer rights.

MD&A: increased sports rights amortization and production costs · Dépôt 04/02/2026

In addition, increased digital advertising available in the marketplace due to the proliferation of advertising-supported direct-to-consumer offerings has intensified, and may continue to intensify, competition for viewers and advertising.

Risk factors: intensified digital competition for viewers and advertising · Dépôt 06/08/2026

Consolidation among MVPDs, their increased vertical integration into the cable or broadcast network business or their use of alternative technologies to offer their subscribers access to local broadcast network programming could increase their negotiating leverage.

Risk factors: potential distributor negotiating leverage from consolidation and integration · Dépôt 06/08/2025

If the Company and an MVPD reach an impasse in contract renewal negotiations, the Company's networks and owned and operated television stations could become unavailable to the MVPD’s subscribers (i.e., “go dark”), which, depending on the length of time and the size of the MVPD, could have a negative impact on the Company's revenues from affiliate fees and advertising.

Risk factors: potential carriage negotiation impasses and revenue consequences · Dépôt 06/08/2025

For the years ended June 30, 2026 2025 2024 (in millions) Revenues Cable Network Programming $ 7,348 $ 6,930 $ 5,955 Television 9,666 9,325 7,875 Total segment revenues 17,014 16,255 13,830 Corporate and Other 526 244 209 Eliminations (414) (199) (59) Total revenues $ 17,126 $ 16,300 $ 13,980 Segment EBITDA Cable Network Programming $ 3,099 $ 3,030 $ 2,693 Television 1,438 945 506 Total segment EBITDA 4,537 3,975 3,199 Corporate and Other (631) (351) (316) Amortization of cable distribution investments — (10) (16) Depreciation and amortization (410) (385) (389) Restructuring, impairment and other corporate matters (151) (350) (67) Equity losses of affiliates (20) (29) (44) Interest expense, net (274) (227) (216) Non-operating other, net (773) 438 (47) Income before income tax expense 2,278 3,061 2,104 Income tax expense (551) (768) (550) Net income 1,727 2,293 1,554 Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests (42) (30) (53) Net income attributable to Fox Corporation stockholders $ 1,685 $ 2,263 $ 1,501 100 FOX CORPORATION NOTES TO THE CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS For the years ended June 30, 2026 2025 2024 (in millions) Reconciliation of Revenues to Segment EBITDA Cable Network Programming Revenues $ 7,348 $ 6,930 $ 5,955 Operating expenses (3,562) (3,275) (2,668) Selling, general and administrative (687) (635) (610) Amortization of cable distribution investments — 10 16 Segment EBITDA $ 3,099 $ 3,030 $ 2,693 Television Revenues $ 9,666 $ 9,325 $ 7,875 Operating expenses (7,101) (7,308) (6,372) Selling, general and administrative (1,127) (1,072) (997) Segment EBITDA $ 1,438 $ 945 $ 506 For the years ended June 30, 2026 2025 2024 (in millions) Revenues by Segment by Component Cable Network Programming Distribution $ 4,662 $ 4,440 $ 4,291 Advertising 1,687 1,531 1,262 Content and other 999 959 402 Total Cable Network Programming revenues 7,348 6,930 5,955 Television Advertising 5,652 5,334 4,182 Distribution 3,346 3,340 3,136 Content and other 668 651 557 Total Television revenues 9,666 9,325 7,875 Corporate and Other 526 244 209 Eliminations (414) (199) (59) Total revenues $ 17,126 $ 16,300 $ 13,980 For fiscal 2026, 2025 and 2024, the Company had no individual customers that accounted for 10% or more of Revenues.

Note on segment information: fiscal 2024–2026 revenue, expenses and Segment EBITDA · Dépôt 06/08/2026

Future Performance Obligations As of June 30, 2026, approximately $6 billion of revenues are expected to be recognized primarily over the next one to three years.

Future performance obligations: expected revenue and recognition horizon · Dépôt 06/08/2026

The Company’s most significant remaining performance obligations relate to distribution contracts, content licensing contracts with fixed fees and sports advertising contracts.

Future performance obligations: distribution, fixed-fee licensing and sports advertising contracts · Dépôt 06/08/2026

62 FOX CORPORATION CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (IN MILLIONS) For the years ended June 30, 2026 2025 2024 OPERATING ACTIVITIES Net income $ 1,727 $ 2,293 $ 1,554 Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities Depreciation and amortization 410 385 389 Restructuring, impairment and other corporate matters 151 267 67 Equity-based compensation 132 135 90 Equity losses of affiliates 20 29 44 Cash distributions received from affiliates 32 13 — Non-operating other, net 773 (438) 47 Deferred income taxes 271 164 203 Change in operating assets and liabilities, net of acquisitions and dispositions Receivables and other assets (1,055) (85) (156) Inventories net of programming payable (493) 521 (303) Accounts payable and accrued expenses 66 89 (1) Other changes, net (64) (49) (94) Net cash provided by operating activities 1,970 3,324 1,840 INVESTING ACTIVITIES Property and equipment (502) (331) (345) Purchase of investments (178) (79) (103) Acquisitions, net of cash acquired (8) (97) — Other investing activities, net (17) (30) (4) Net cash used in investing activities (705) (537) (452) FINANCING ACTIVITIES Repurchase of shares (2,000) (1,000) (1,000) Dividends paid and distributions (287) (277) (281) Purchase of noncontrolling interest (208) — — Repayment of borrowings — (600) (1,250) Borrowings — — 1,232 Other financing activities, net 84 122 (42) Net cash used in financing activities (2,411) (1,755) (1,341) Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents (1,146) 1,032 47 Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of year 5,351 4,319 4,272 Cash and cash equivalents, end of year $ 4,205 $ 5,351 $ 4,319 The accompanying notes are an integral part of these Consolidated Financial Statements.

Consolidated cash flows: operating cash generation, investment, repurchases, dividends and cash balances · Dépôt 06/08/2026

In connection with the Merger Agreement, in June 2026, the Company entered into a commitment letter under which the lenders provided $12.0 billion of commitments ($11.0 billion of which is available as of June 30, 2026) to provide senior unsecured bridge loans (the “Bridge Facility”) and a term loan credit agreement under which the lenders committed to provide a $1.0 billion senior unsecured term loan facility (the “Term Loan Facility”) (See Note 9—Borrowings).

Acquisitions and transactions: committed merger bridge and term financing · Dépôt 06/08/2026

In addition, FOX will be required to pay Roku a termination fee of approximately $1.2 billion if the Merger Agreement is terminated under certain circumstances related to the failure to obtain certain regulatory approvals or upon the entry of a permanent 1 restraint under certain antitrust laws or investment screening laws.

Merger agreement: contingent regulatory termination fee · Dépôt 06/08/2026

There can be no assurance that the conditions in the Merger Agreement will be satisfied or waived or that the Merger will be consummated.

Risk factors: merger completion remains conditional · Dépôt 06/08/2026

•The Company successfully launched FOX One, its wholly-owned, direct-to-consumer subscription streaming service incorporating FOX's linear programming across sports, news and entertainment, in advance of the 2025 college and NFL football seasons.

Fiscal 2026 business review: completed FOX One launch · Dépôt 17/09/2026

FOX One exceeded its subscriber expectations by the end of fiscal 2026, with new subscriber additions coming primarily from outside the traditional pay-TV bundle.

Fiscal 2026 business review: issuer-reported FOX One subscriber performance against expectations · Dépôt 17/09/2026

The mix of long-term equity-based incentive awards granted for fiscal 2026 is as follows: •Twenty-five percent (25%) of a named executive officer’s target long-term incentive award was granted as performance-based stock options with a three-year performance period (the “PSOs”).

Compensation discussion: fiscal 2026 performance-option grants and incentive mix · Dépôt 17/09/2026

PSOs granted to our named executive officers vest only if, at any point during the three-year performance period, the closing price of the Class A Common Stock exceeds the exercise price of the PSO by at least 15% for at least 30 consecutive calendar days (the “Stock Hurdle”).

Compensation discussion: performance-option stock-price vesting hurdle · Dépôt 17/09/2026

(d)This amount, further detailed in the table below, includes the following: (i) FOX PSU Awards earned for the fiscal 2024-2026 performance period that ended on June 30, 2026, which vested on August 15, 2026 at a Final Performance Factor of 172% of target (“FOX 24 PSU”) – for further information regarding the determination of the Final Performance Factor, please see the discussion under the heading “Vesting of Performance-Based Long-Term Equity-Based Incentive Awards for Fiscal 2024-2026 Performance Period” in Compensation Discussion and Analysis, (ii) FOX RSU Awards granted pursuant to the 2019 SAP that vest in equal installments on August 15 of each of 2024, 2025 and 2026 (“FOX 24 RSU”); (iii) FOX RSU Awards granted pursuant to the 2019 SAP that vest in equal installments on August 15 of each of 2025, 2026 and 2027 (“FOX 25 RSU”) and (iv) FOX RSU Awards granted pursuant to the 2019 SAP that vest in equal installments on August 15 of each of 2026, 2027 and 2028 (“FOX 26 RSU”).

Executive compensation: actual August 2026 performance-unit vesting and time-based award schedules · Dépôt 17/09/2026

In addition, the Company prohibits all Directors and employees, including our named executive officers, from pledging any Company securities that they hold directly, hedging any Company securities that they hold directly or indirectly (including through the purchase of financial instruments, such as prepaid variable forward contracts, equity swaps, collars, and exchange funds that hedge or offset, or are designed to hedge or offset, any decrease in the market value of FOX’s securities) or hedging or pledging equity compensation.

Compensation policies: director and employee hedging and pledging prohibitions · Dépôt 17/09/2026

In addition to the Accrued Benefits, in such events, subject to the timely execution of and compliance with a release of claims he will be entitled to receive (i) cash severance equal to the greater of (a) the sum of one year of annual base salary and target bonus for the year in which termination occurs or (b) the remainder of his annual base salary for the remainder of the Term and payment of his target bonus for each remaining bonus period during the Term; (ii) (x) accelerated vesting of any awarded but unvested time-based Annual SAP Awards (y) continued vesting of any awarded but unvested performance-based Annual SAP Awards, subject to the achievement of any applicable performance-based vesting conditions, and (z) the opportunity to exercise any vested option awards during the full option term; and (iii) payments by the Company for the employer portion of the premiums under the Company’s group health, dental and vision insurance plans.

Executive compensation: contractual severance and continued or accelerated vesting provisions · Dépôt 17/09/2026

Each member of the Board (“Director”) is elected annually with a majority vote standard in uncontested elections, which includes a Director resignation policy as set forth in the Statement of Corporate Governance.

Corporate governance: annual director elections and majority vote standard · Dépôt 17/09/2026

•Independent Board Oversight. As outlined in the Statement of Corporate Governance, the independent Directors of the Board annually elect a Lead Independent Director who has substantive responsibilities and significant authority including over meeting schedules, agendas and information sent to the Board.

Corporate governance: lead independent director responsibilities · Dépôt 17/09/2026

•Independent Board Committees. Only independent Directors serve on the Board’s key committees.

Corporate governance: independent membership of key committees · Dépôt 17/09/2026

•Dual-Class Capital Structure. The Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee continues to consider the benefits and considerations of multi-class capital structures, including their effects on economic performance and investment in innovation, and the protections that such structures allow media companies to pursue independent journalism, and it continues to believe that a dual-class capital structure remains appropriate and in the best long-term interests of our stockholders.

Corporate governance: retained dual-class capital structure · Dépôt 17/09/2026

6: SIMPLE MAJORITY VOTE Benefits to Stockholders of Supermajority Provisions The Company has a stockholder that holds approximately 39% of the outstanding Class B Common Stock.

Voting proposal discussion: disclosed approximately 39% Class B stockholder · Dépôt 17/09/2026

•The FOX Nation subscription video-on-demand service closed the year with its highest paid subscriber count ever and strong growth in average revenue per paid subscriber.

Fiscal 2026 achievements: FOX Nation paid subscribers and average revenue per paid subscriber · Dépôt 17/09/2026

Historique des publications

Historique des publications
VersionMis à jourAvantage concurrentiel
1024/10/2026narrow
923/10/2026narrow
822/10/2026narrow
719/10/2026narrow
619/10/2026narrow
519/10/2026narrow
418/10/2026narrow
318/10/2026narrow
218/10/2026narrow
118/10/2026Indisponible

Sources

Méthode et limites de l’analyse · Comprendre ce concept