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W.W. Grainger

NYSE: GWW · USD

W.W. Grainger (GWW) Economic Moat Analysis—

Avantages concurrentiels, preuves datées et risques d’érosion.

Analyse à actualiser

Narrow avantage concurrentiel

Grainger has a narrow moat centered on embedded purchasing and inventory workflows in its High-Touch business. Direct eProcurement connections, onsite KeepStock services and shared distribution infrastructure provide practical procurement benefits and some switching friction; reported multiyear share gains support their commercial relevance. Relative cost superiority and exceptional durability remain unproven. Pricing power is demonstrated but bounded: tariff-related price increases accompanied volume growth in both first-half 2026 quarters, following unfavorable price/cost timing in 2025. Transparent pricing, purchasing-group bargaining and competing distribution channels constrain the advantage.

Switching costs

Existing eProcurement connections and onsite inventory management embed Grainger in complex customer purchasing workflows. Replacing these arrangements plausibly requires operational adjustment, supporting modest switching costs. The integrations are disclosed current operations; the magnitude of switching friction is an analytical inference.

Durabilité
Similar integrations and onsite services are disclosed for 2024 and 2025, while issuer-reported share gains span 2023–2025. This supports an established advantage, but does not establish contractual lock-in or exceptional long-term durability.
Concurrents
Comparaison non établie
Risques d’érosion
Customers can use alternative distributors and direct suppliers. Endless Assortment customers have simpler purchasing requirements and emphasize transparent pricing, so the switching-cost argument is strongest in High-Touch. Digital competitors could reduce integration and service differences.
Ce qui invaliderait la thèse
The thesis would weaken materially if integrated or KeepStock customers showed sustained purchasing declines or departures, if replacements required little operational adjustment, or if persistent share losses showed that embedded services no longer influenced supplier selection.
Preuves (6) · Contre-preuves (4)

Cost advantage

A shared North American distribution network serving multiple businesses, including Zoro, provides an existing infrastructure-sharing benefit. Broad supplier coverage also reduces individual supplier dependence. These support the moat, but comparative purchasing and fulfillment cost superiority is not established.

Durabilité
Existing infrastructure and continued investment can sustain service breadth and spread infrastructure costs. Further capacity expansion is potential reinforcement rather than proof of improved returns or an independently established cost moat.
Concurrents
Comparaison non établie
Risques d’érosion
Competing distributors and online businesses can invest in similar capabilities, while suppliers can sell directly. Distribution investment requires continuing capital, and tariff timing and operating expenses have already pressured results.
Ce qui invaliderait la thèse
The supporting cost thesis would fail if shared fulfillment generated no measurable efficiency benefit, if rivals matched availability and service at lower total cost, or if sustained investment produced deteriorating service, utilization and cash returns.
Preuves (4) · Contre-preuves (4)

Évolution depuis la dernière analyse

  • Changed uncertain to narrow after weighing existing eProcurement integration and onsite inventory services, their recurrence across annual disclosures, and reported multiyear share gains together. The conclusion rests on modest workflow switching costs, not margins or asserted cultural superiority.
  • Pricing is assessable: first- and second-quarter 2026 disclosures explicitly report tariff cost pass-through alongside volume growth. The prior conclusion that realized pricing was undisclosed no longer fits the supplied evidence.
  • Management alignment and governance are assessable from historical compensation arrangements, an approved PSU payout, shareholder rights and control disclosures; the advisory compensation vote is not treated as proof of subsequent approval.

Limites de l’analyse

  • No operating competitors are named as such in the supplied passages. Competitor arrays are empty; employers, compensation comparators, subsidiaries and litigation parties are not substituted for competitors.
  • Switching costs are inferred from disclosed operational integration. Customer departure rates, implementation costs, exclusive commitments and comparative service metrics are absent.
  • Share-gain measures and operating explanations are issuer-reported. Financial-statement audits do not independently validate claims of competitive superiority or customer savings.
  • Pricing contribution, elasticity and customer-level purchasing persistence are not quantified. Two quarters of cost pass-through do not establish unrestricted or exceptionally durable pricing power.
  • Second-quarter 2026 margin improvement includes tariff refunds; U.K. exits also affect comparisons. Neither benefit is treated as recurring pricing power.
  • The proxy supplies actual compensation designs and historical payouts, but the supplied excerpts omit comprehensive executive ownership amounts and ownership-guideline compliance.
  • All supplied source dates have dateKind filed. Assessment uses disclosed results through June 2026 and does not treat guidance as realized performance.

Indicateurs financiers à confronter à la thèse

Ratios calculés à partir des publications annuelles. Une valeur manquante reste indisponible. Les graphiques détaillés sont accessibles dans les autres onglets.

Indicateurs financiers à confronter à la thèse
PériodeGross marginOperating marginROICFCF margin
202136.2%11.9%28.4%5.2%
202238.4%14.5%37.0%7.1%
202339.4%15.6%39.8%9.6%
202439.4%15.4%38.6%9.1%
202539.1%13.9%32.3%7.4%

Pouvoir de fixation des prix—

Données vérifiées insuffisantes pour attribuer un score.

Management—

Données vérifiées insuffisantes pour attribuer un score.

Sources et méthode

Analyse à actualiser · Mis à jour 19/10/2026 · Version 6

Interprétation IA fondée sur des extraits vérifiés. Les déclarations de l’entreprise et les limites de couverture restent explicites.

Méthode quality-scores-2 : six catégories de même poids. Le score global exige une couverture complète. Les données manquantes ne valent pas zéro. Les évaluations qualitatives sont des interprétations sourcées, pas des probabilités. 3/6 · 23/10/2026

Moat—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Pouvoir de fixation des prix—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Prévisibilité100

Five consecutive annual periods. Equal weights: nondeclining revenue frequency; revenue-growth volatility (5–40pp); positive FCF frequency; FCF-margin volatility (3–20pp). Stability indicator, not a growth forecast.

Nondeclining revenue years (%)
100.00
Revenue growth volatility (pp)
5.14
Positive FCF years (%)
100.00
FCF margin volatility (pp)
1.57

Solidité financière93

Equal-weight grades: debt/FCF (1–8x), net debt/earnings before interest and tax (0–5x), interest service (1–12x), current ratio (0.75–2x). Earnings use reported operating income, or reported pretax profit plus reported interest expense when operating income is unavailable. Interest service uses earnings/interest expense; if unavailable, it uses reported operating cash flow/cash interest paid, without relabeling cash paid as accrued expense. Nonpositive cash flow/earnings score 0 for their service component; reported zero interest with a positive numerator scores 100. Net cash scores 100 for net leverage. Missing disclosures remain unavailable. General nonfinancial-company rubric, not a credit rating; exceptional and nonoperating gains are not normalized out. IFRS finance-cost and cash-flow classifications retain their reported scope.

debtFcfGrade
87.58
netDebtEbitGrade
84.75
interestCoverageGrade
100.00
currentRatioGrade
100.00
Debt / FCF (x)
1.87
Net debt / operating income (x)
0.76
Interest coverage (x)
30.80
Current ratio (x)
2.83

Allocation du capital96

Three-year equal-weight indicators: pretax return on average invested capital (0–25%; equity + debt − cash, each year and its prior year), share-count growth (0–5%, lower better), share-based cost/revenue (2–20%, lower better), consolidated FCF/net income (0–1x). Return uses reported operating income or, if unavailable, EBIT calculated from reported pretax profit plus reported interest expense; exceptional/nonoperating gains are not normalized out. Share-based cost uses the reported cash-flow add-back or, if absent, separately reported recognized compensation expense; the latter never becomes an FCF adjustment. Nonpositive net income scores 0 for cash conversion; absent income/FCF stays unavailable. Nonpositive invested capital has no defined return and remains unavailable. Does not establish acquisition quality or buyback timing.

3-year pre-tax operating return (%)
48.61
3-year average dilution (%)
-2.00
3-year average SBC / revenue (%)
0.36
cashConversionGrade
82.42

Qualité du management—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Preuves

In the High-Touch Solutions N.A. segment, customers are typically mid-size and large businesses with complex purchasing operations and processes.

Item 1, Business: High-Touch customer purchasing complexity · Dépôt 19/02/2026

Customers in this segment utilize sophisticated electronic purchasing platforms that communicate directly with Grainger's systems through eProcurement technology.

Item 1, Business: customer eProcurement connections · Dépôt 19/02/2026

Additionally, Grainger offers comprehensive inventory management through its KeepStock® program which provides onsite industry expertise, flexible storage solutions and intuitive customer tools powered by proprietary processes and technology.

Item 1, Business: onsite KeepStock inventory management · Dépôt 19/02/2026

Customers in this segment utilize sophisticated electronic purchasing platforms that communicate directly with Grainger.com through eProcurement technology.

Item 1, Business: 2024 customer eProcurement connections · Dépôt 20/02/2025

KeepStock®, Grainger's inventory management solution, serves customers on site, offering valuable insights to drive efficiencies and cost savings.

Item 1, Business: 2024 onsite KeepStock services · Dépôt 20/02/2025

share gain performance for 2023 (+518 bps), 2024 (+97 bps) and 2025 (+235 bps).

Executive Compensation: reported 2023–2025 U.S. share-gain performance · Dépôt 10/03/2026

Customers purchasing through the endless assortment platforms are focused on transparent pricing and an easy-to-navigate procurement process.

Item 1, Business: Endless Assortment customer pricing preferences · Dépôt 19/02/2026

Grainger faces competition from a variety of competitors, including manufacturers (including some of its own suppliers) that sell directly to certain segments of the market, wholesale distributors, retailers and internet-based businesses.

Item 1, Business: competing distribution channels · Dépôt 19/02/2026

If Grainger’s customer-facing technology systems are perceived as more difficult or less compelling for customers to use than those of Grainger’s competitors, or if digital marketing efforts are unsuccessful or if Grainger is otherwise unsuccessful at realizing the benefits of these investments, its reputation, financial condition and operating results may be adversely affected.

Item 1A, Risk Factors: competing digital experiences · Dépôt 19/02/2026

The majority of Company revenue originates from contracts with a single performance obligation to deliver products, whereby performance obligations are satisfied when control of the product is transferred to the customer per the arranged shipping terms.

Note 2, Revenue: product-delivery performance obligations · Dépôt 04/08/2026

Grainger’s North American distribution network supplies inventory planning and management, transportation and distribution services to all Grainger businesses in the North American region.

Item 1, Business: shared North American distribution services · Dépôt 19/02/2026

Zoro leverages the High-Touch Solution N.A.'s DC network and third-party drop shipments to deliver seamless service and product fulfillment to customers.

Item 1, Business: Zoro use of existing distribution network · Dépôt 19/02/2026

Grainger's products are purchased from more than 5,000 primary suppliers located in various countries around the world, not one of which accounted for more than 5% of total purchases in the year ended December 31, 2025.

Item 1A, Risk Factors: supplier breadth and purchase concentration · Dépôt 19/02/2026

5 W.W. Grainger, Inc. and Subsidiaries CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (In millions of dollars) (Unaudited) Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 2025 Cash flows from operating activities: Net earnings $ 1,181 $ 1,008 Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to net cash provided by operating activities: Provision for credit losses 13 13 Deferred income taxes and tax uncertainties 31 1 Depreciation and amortization 128 125 Non-cash lease expense 40 41 Stock-based compensation 39 35 Change in operating assets and liabilities: Accounts receivable (510) (212) Inventories 14 (19) Prepaid expenses and other assets (32) (33) Trade accounts payable 312 231 Operating lease liabilities (48) (53) Accrued liabilities 21 (60) Income taxes – net (4) (37) Other non-current liabilities (2) (17) Net cash provided by operating activities 1,183 1,023 Cash flows from investing activities: Capital expenditures (281) (300) Proceeds from sale of assets — 4 Other – net (13) 13 Net cash used in investing activities (294) (283) Cash flows from financing activities: Short-term borrowings (repayments), original maturities of 90 days or less, net (125) — Proceeds from debt 52 63 Payments of debt (4) (503) Proceeds from stock options exercised 8 2 Payments for employee taxes withheld from stock awards (30) (30) Purchases of treasury stock (461) (507) Purchases of noncontrolling interests (70) — Cash dividends paid (253) (225) Other – net 9 (1) Net cash used in financing activities (874) (1,201) Exchange rate effect on cash and cash equivalents (11) 22 Net change in cash and cash equivalents 4 (439) Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year 585 1,036 Cash and cash equivalents at end of period $ 589 $ 597 The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows: first-half 2026 spending, financing and cash generation · Dépôt 04/08/2026

The decrease in gross profit margin was primarily driven by tariff-related inflation which caused unfavorable price / cost timing and last-in, first-out (LIFO) inventory valuation headwinds in the High-Touch Solutions - N.A.

2025 results, Gross Profit Margin: unfavorable tariff price/cost timing · Dépôt 03/02/2026

Adjusted operating margin of 15.0% decreased 50 basis points compared to 2024 due primarily to lower gross margin, higher operating expenses, and slower sales growth in the High-Touch Solutions - N.A.

2025 results: adjusted operating-margin decline and causes · Dépôt 03/02/2026

As discussed in the "Non-GAAP Measures" section, we have adjusted the current year results to exclude one-time losses recorded in SG&A expenses of $186 million within Other and $10 million within Endless Assortment related to the Cromwell divestiture and closure of Zoro U.K., respectively.

MD&A, Results of Operations: losses on U.K. divestiture and closure · Dépôt 19/02/2026

Results for the segment were driven by volume growth and price inflation as tariff costs are passed.

First-quarter 2026 results, Revenue: volume growth and tariff cost pass-through · Dépôt 08/05/2026

Results for the segment were driven by volume growth and price inflation as tariff costs are passed.

Second-quarter 2026 results, Revenue: volume growth and tariff cost pass-through · Dépôt 04/08/2026

Grainger, Inc. $555 $479 15.9% Diluted Earnings Per Share $11.65 $9.86 18.2% Gross Profit Margin 40.0% 39.7% 30 bps Operating Margin 16.7% 15.6% 110 bps Effective Tax Rate 25.1% 23.9% (120) bps (1) Results are consistent on a reported and adjusted basis.

First-quarter 2026 Financial Summary: realized gross and operating margins · Dépôt 08/05/2026

•Achieved operating margin of 16.1%, up 120 basis points, inclusive of IEEPA tariff refunds

Second-quarter 2026 Highlights: margin improvement inclusive of tariff refunds · Dépôt 04/08/2026

In addition, Grainger has entered, and may in the future continue to enter, into contracts with group purchasing organizations (GPOs) that aggregate the buying power of their member customers in negotiating selling prices.

Item 1A, Risk Factors: existing negotiated GPO contracts · Dépôt 19/02/2026

In addition, Grainger’s government contracts may provide for termination, reduction or modification by the government at any time, with or without cause.

Item 1A, Risk Factors: government contract termination and modification rights · Dépôt 19/02/2026

​ (3) Based on three-year average Endless Assortment daily, organic constant currency sales growth performance in local days for 2023 (9.3%), 2024 (12.5%) and 2025 (16.1%).

Executive Compensation: 2023–2025 Endless Assortment growth performance · Dépôt 10/03/2026

The Company invested $684 million in capital expenditures, resulting in free cash flow of $1.3 billion in 2025.

2025 results, Cash Flow: capital expenditures and free cash flow · Dépôt 03/02/2026

During the year, the Company returned $1.5 billion to Grainger shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

2025 results, Cash Flow: shareholder distributions · Dépôt 03/02/2026

The activity related to outstanding common stock and common stock held in treasury was as follows: 2025 2024 2023 Outstanding Common Stock Treasury Stock Outstanding Common Stock Treasury Stock Outstanding Common Stock Treasury Stock Balance at beginning of period 48,332,870 61,326,349 49,317,402 60,341,817 50,256,323 59,402,896 Exercise of stock options 45,618 (45,618) 113,274 (113,274) 139,189 (139,189) Settlement of restricted stock units – net of 26,078, 39,118 and 32,800 shares retained, respectively 64,422 (64,422) 79,400 (79,400) 83,795 (83,795) Settlement of performance share units – net of 8,596, 9,629 and 18,521 shares retained, respectively 14,380 (14,380) 15,110 (15,110) 28,135 (28,135) Purchase of treasury shares (1,038,509) 1,038,509 (1,192,316) 1,192,316 (1,190,040) 1,190,040 Balance at end of period 47,418,781 62,240,438 48,332,870 61,326,349 49,317,402 60,341,817 NOTE 11 - ACCUMULATED OTHER COMPREHENSIVE EARNINGS (LOSSES) (AOCE) The components of AOCE consisted of the following (in millions of dollars): Foreign Currency Translation and Other Defined Postretirement Benefit Plan Other Employment-related Benefit Plans Total Foreign Currency Translation Attributable to Noncontrolling Interests AOCE Attributable to W.W.

Note 10, Capital Stock: issuance, settlements and net share reduction · Dépôt 19/02/2026

share gain (a relative metric), Endless Assortment daily, organic constant currency sales growth in local days, and total Company adjusted, constant currency operating margin performance, each equally weighted.

Executive Compensation: historical PSU performance metrics · Dépôt 10/03/2026

Therefore, the Committee approved the payout for these PSUs at 90% of target.(1) TABLE OF CONTENTS​​​​ 2025 Long-Term Incentive Equity Mix

Executive Compensation: approved historical PSU payout · Dépôt 10/03/2026

The equity mix for the 2025 long-term incentive program for the CEO was 60% PSUs and 40% time-vested RSUs; the other NEOs had an equity mix of 50% PSUs and 50% time-vested RSUs.

Executive Compensation: actual 2025 long-term incentive equity mix · Dépôt 10/03/2026

Key aspects include: ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ • 11 of our 12 Director nominees are independent ​ • Annual election of all Directors ​ • 100% independent Board Committees ​ • Majority voting with Director resignation policy ​ • Proxy access in Grainger’s By-laws (“By-laws”) ​ • Shareholders may call special meetings ​ • No poison pill or shareholder rights plan ​ • No “overboarded” Directors under the voting guidelines of Institutional Shareholder Services (“ISS”) ​ • Board orientation and education programs ​ • Active shareholder engagement ​ • 33% of our Director nominees are women and 25% of our Director nominees are racially diverse ​ • Skills/demographics matrix regularly reviewed and annually disclosed ​ • Commitment to Board refreshment—six new Directors since 2020 ​ • Well-defined Director recruitment strategy and process ​ • Appropriate mix of Director tenures ​ • Age 72 retirement guideline ​ ​ ​ • Robust Director selection process ​ • Onboarding orientation centered on strategy, competition, financial reporting, governance and risk management ​ • Annual Board and Committee evaluations and Director self-assessments ​ • Independent Lead Director, elected annually by and from the independent Directors ​ • Regular executive sessions, where independent Directors meet without management present to allow for candid discussion of management performance, succession planning, and other sensitive matters ​ • Active Board oversight of strategy, risk management, corporate culture, and Grainger Impact Program focus areas ​ • Annual review of Enterprise Risk Management (“ERM”) programs ​ • Committees assist in oversight of risk areas related to Committee responsibilities ​ • Active role in succession planning and management development ​ • Business Conduct Guidelines, Equity Award Agreement Clawback Provisions, NYSE-Compliant Clawback Policy, Equity Ownership Requirements, and Prohibition on Hedging/Pledging of Company Stock under the Company’s Insider Trading Policy ​ • “One vote per share” on all matters, including director elections ​ ​ ​ Operating Principles for the Board of Directors The Board recognizes that defining its role is an evolving process and has established Operating Principles for the Board of Directors (the “Operating Principles”) as a general framework to assist the Board in fulfilling its duties and responsibilities.

Corporate Governance: existing shareholder rights, committee independence and ownership policies · Dépôt 10/03/2026

Under the terms of the Company’s 2015 Incentive Plan and 2022 Incentive Plan, which are the sources for all equity awards granted after April 2015, “double-trigger” vesting provisions apply to all equity awards (i.e., both a change in control occurs and a participant is involuntarily terminated within one year of the change in control).

Executive Compensation: existing double-trigger equity vesting provisions · Dépôt 10/03/2026

We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States) (PCAOB), the Company's internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2025, based on criteria established in Internal Control—Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (2013 framework), and our report dated February 19, 2026 expressed an unqualified opinion thereon.

Independent auditor report: unqualified internal-control opinion · Dépôt 19/02/2026

Due to an administrative error, such Form 4 was filed late with respect to a single transaction relating to the Company withholding 188 shares of common stock for her tax obligations upon the partial settlement of an RSU grant on February 1, 2025.

Delinquent Section 16 Reports: late filing caused by administrative error · Dépôt 10/03/2026

Grainger, Inc. and Subsidiaries CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS (In millions of dollars and shares, except for per share amounts) (Unaudited) Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30, June 30, 2026 2025 2026 2025 Net sales $ 5,021 $ 4,554 $ 9,763 $ 8,860 Cost of goods sold 3,037 2,799 5,883 5,395 Gross profit 1,984 1,755 3,880 3,465 Selling, general and administrative expenses 1,177 1,077 2,280 2,115 Operating earnings 807 678 1,600 1,350 Other expense (income): Interest expense – net 20 20 41 41 Other – net (11) (3) (14) (9) Total other expense – net 9 17 27 32 Earnings before income taxes 798 661 1,573 1,318 Income tax provision 198 153 392 310 Net earnings 600 508 1,181 1,008 Less net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interest 30 26 56 47 Net earnings attributable to W.W.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings: first-half 2026 operating results · Dépôt 04/08/2026

To facilitate recruitment, the Committee approved a guaranteed payout equal to 100% of Ms.

Executive Compensation: recruitment-related guaranteed incentive payout · Dépôt 10/03/2026

Tinto’s MIP target opportunity for the full 2025 performance year.

Executive Compensation: guaranteed payout covers the full 2025 performance year · Dépôt 10/03/2026

Historique des publications

Historique des publications
VersionMis à jourAvantage concurrentiel
623/10/2026narrow
522/10/2026narrow
419/10/2026narrow
318/10/2026uncertain
218/10/2026uncertain
118/10/2026Indisponible

Sources

Méthode et limites de l’analyse · Comprendre ce concept