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ExxonMobil

NYSE: XOM · USD

ExxonMobil (XOM) Economic Moat Analysis—

Avantages concurrentiels, preuves datées et risques d’érosion.

Analyse à actualiser

Narrow avantage concurrentiel

ExxonMobil has a narrow cost-based moat supported by integrated facilities, repeated Permian and Guyana growth, and realized operating savings. These advantages improve production economics without establishing control over commodity prices. Actual price declines, refining cyclicality and 2026 supply disruptions constrain resilience. Missing peer cost comparisons and asset-level returns limit confidence in long-term durability; technology and new businesses remain potential advantages.

Cost advantage

Integrated refinery and chemical complexes and productive upstream assets support operating efficiencies. Reported earnings contributions from cost savings and repeated Permian and Guyana growth substantiate a current advantage, although the issuer's designation of assets as advantaged does not independently establish their relative cost ranking.

Durabilité
Production infrastructure and repeated operating contributions support persistence beyond a single quarter. The passages do not establish the remaining duration of superior asset economics or a durable peer cost gap, so the advantage supports only a narrow moat.
Concurrents
Comparaison non établie
Risques d’érosion
Resource depletion, reinvestment requirements, concession economics, competing technology and state-owned competitors can erode the advantage. Commodity-price declines and Middle East disruptions have already affected results; technology diffusion and alternative-energy competition are disclosed possibilities rather than demonstrated erosion.
Ce qui invaliderait la thèse
The thesis would fail if comparable asset-level evidence showed no sustained cost advantage, or if repeated operating periods showed savings reversed by recurring costs and Permian and Guyana growth failed to offset depletion and required reinvestment. Loss of material resource rights or persistent disruption that eliminated the operating benefits would also invalidate it.
Preuves (7) · Contre-preuves (8)

Évolution depuis la dernière analyse

  • Retain the previous narrow verdict: operating savings, integration and repeated upstream growth support a limited cost advantage.
  • Explicitly incorporate second-quarter 2026 evidence: Permian and Guyana growth partly offset disruption-related production losses, while downstream savings and optimization continued.
  • Add criterion-level pricing and management assessments, distinguishing actual grants and vesting terms from missing proxy detail and actual pricing outcomes from pricing discretion.

Limites de l’analyse

  • Only supplied issuer filings were assessed. Their dates are filing dates: February 28, 2024; February 19, 2025; February 18, 2026; May 4, 2026; and August 3, 2026. No retrieval date is treated as a publication date.
  • Competition passages identify generic categories rather than named competing companies. Acquired companies, affiliates and service providers are not established current competitors; competitor arrays therefore remain empty.
  • Peer unit costs, comparable project returns, remaining advantaged inventory duration and an independently established cost ranking are absent. Structural cost savings are issuer-defined non-GAAP measures and include workforce and divestment-related reductions.
  • Customer renewals, repeat purchases, customer-specific dependence and realized specialty-product premiums are not disclosed. Production growth does not establish customer retention, and employee tenure is not customer retention.
  • Actual long-term equity awards support incentive alignment, but executive ownership, comprehensive performance conditions, board independence and related-party detail are absent. Referenced proxy sections and policy exhibits do not supply their underlying contents.
  • Proprietary research and new-business ambitions do not establish a separate intangible-asset moat. No network effect, protected local market or material customer switching barrier is demonstrated.

Indicateurs financiers à confronter à la thèse

Ratios calculés à partir des publications annuelles. Une valeur manquante reste indisponible. Les graphiques détaillés sont accessibles dans les autres onglets.

Indicateurs financiers à confronter à la thèse
PériodeGross marginOperating marginROICFCF margin
2021———12.6%
2022———14.1%
2023———9.7%
2024———8.8%
2025———7.1%

Pouvoir de fixation des prix—

Données vérifiées insuffisantes pour attribuer un score.

Management—

Données vérifiées insuffisantes pour attribuer un score.

Sources et méthode

Analyse à actualiser · Mis à jour 18/10/2026 · Version 8

Interprétation IA fondée sur des extraits vérifiés. Les déclarations de l’entreprise et les limites de couverture restent explicites.

Méthode quality-scores-2 : six catégories de même poids. Le score global exige une couverture complète. Les données manquantes ne valent pas zéro. Les évaluations qualitatives sont des interprétations sourcées, pas des probabilités. 2/6 · 23/10/2026

Moat—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Pouvoir de fixation des prix—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Prévisibilité74

Five consecutive annual periods. Equal weights: nondeclining revenue frequency; revenue-growth volatility (5–40pp); positive FCF frequency; FCF-margin volatility (3–20pp). Stability indicator, not a growth forecast.

Nondeclining revenue years (%)
50.00
Revenue growth volatility (pp)
23.26
Positive FCF years (%)
100.00
FCF margin volatility (pp)
2.56

Solidité financière76

Equal-weight grades: debt/FCF (1–8x), net debt/earnings before interest and tax (0–5x), interest service (1–12x), current ratio (0.75–2x). Earnings use reported operating income, or reported pretax profit plus reported interest expense when operating income is unavailable. Interest service uses earnings/interest expense; if unavailable, it uses reported operating cash flow/cash interest paid, without relabeling cash paid as accrued expense. Nonpositive cash flow/earnings score 0 for their service component; reported zero interest with a positive numerator scores 100. Net cash scores 100 for net leverage. Missing disclosures remain unavailable. General nonfinancial-company rubric, not a credit rating; exceptional and nonoperating gains are not normalized out. IFRS finance-cost and cash-flow classifications retain their reported scope.

debtFcfGrade
87.94
netDebtEbitGrade
84.31
interestCoverageGrade
100.00
currentRatioGrade
32.22
Debt / FCF (x)
1.84
Net debt / operating income (x)
0.78
Current ratio (x)
1.15

Allocation du capital—

Missing required inputs: sbcRevenue. Three-year equal-weight indicators: pretax return on average invested capital (0–25%; equity + debt − cash, each year and its prior year), share-count growth (0–5%, lower better), share-based cost/revenue (2–20%, lower better), consolidated FCF/net income (0–1x). Return uses reported operating income or, if unavailable, EBIT calculated from reported pretax profit plus reported interest expense; exceptional/nonoperating gains are not normalized out. Share-based cost uses the reported cash-flow add-back or, if absent, separately reported recognized compensation expense; the latter never becomes an FCF adjustment. Nonpositive net income scores 0 for cash conversion; absent income/FCF stays unavailable. Nonpositive invested capital has no defined return and remains unavailable. Does not establish acquisition quality or buyback timing.

3-year pre-tax operating return (%)
19.43
3-year average dilution (%)
0.87
cashConversionGrade
89.08

Qualité du management—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Preuves

Instead, where such sales take place, they are the result of efficiencies and competitive advantages of integrated refinery and chemical complexes.

Liquidity and Capital Resources / integrated refinery and chemical complexes · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Advantaged Volume Growth – Higher volumes from advantaged assets increased earnings by $3.8 billion, as a result of record production in Permian, driven by the Pioneer acquisition and growth in the heritage Permian (2), and record production in Guyana driven by the Prosperity FPSO start-up.

2024 Upstream Earnings Driver Analysis / production growth · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Advantaged Volume Growth – Increased earnings by $1.9 billion, mainly driven by record production in Permian and Guyana.

2025 Upstream Earnings Driver Analysis / production growth · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Structural Cost Savings (1) – Increased earnings by $1.4 billion.

2025 Upstream Earnings Driver Analysis / structural cost savings · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Structural Cost Savings (1) – Increased earnings by $0.6 billion.

2025 Energy Products Earnings Driver Analysis / structural cost savings · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Advantaged Volume Growth – Consistent focus on growing advantaged capacity and optimizing assets and products increased earnings by $270 million.

Energy Products Second Quarter Earnings Driver Analysis / capacity and optimization · Dépôt 03/08/2026

Structural Cost Savings – Increased earnings by $110 million.

Energy Products Second Quarter Earnings Driver Analysis / structural cost savings · Dépôt 03/08/2026

16,713 18,389 17,918 Total 22,247 25,175 23,609 2025 Upstream Earnings Driver Analysis (1) (millions of dollars) Price – Lower realizations decreased earnings by $6.1 billion, primarily driven by lower crude prices as record demand was more than offset by increased industry supply.

2025 Upstream Earnings Driver Analysis / lower realized prices · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Margin – Significantly weaker industry refining margins decreased earnings by $6.3 billion.

2024 Energy Products Earnings Driver Analysis / weaker refining margins · Dépôt 18/02/2026

2Q 2026 versus 2Q 2025 2Q 2026 production of 4.5 million oil-equivalent barrels per day decreased 116 thousand oil- equivalent barrels per day from 2Q 2025, driven by Middle East disruption impacts, mostly offset by Permian and Guyana growth.

Upstream Additional Information / second-quarter 2026 production and disruptions · Dépôt 03/08/2026

Technology and expertise provided by industry service companies or AI may also enhance the competitiveness of firms that may not have the internal resources and capabilities of ExxonMobil or reduce the need for resource-owning countries to partner with private-sector oil and gas companies in order to monetize national resources.

Risk Factors / technology diffusion and resource-owner capabilities · Dépôt 18/02/2026

We face competition not only from other private firms, but also from state-owned companies that are increasingly competing for opportunities outside of their home countries and as partners with other private firms.

Risk Factors / private and state-owned competition · Dépôt 18/02/2026

In some cases, substantial new investments in additional wells and related facilities will be required to recover these proved reserves.

Oil and Gas Reserves / additional development investment · Dépôt 18/02/2026

These drivers consist of net interest changes specified in Production Sharing Contracts (PSCs), which typically occur when cumulative investment returns or production volumes achieve defined thresholds, changes in equity upon achieving pay-out in partner investment carry situations, equity redeterminations as specified in venture agreements, or as a result of the termination or expiry of a concession.

Production driver definitions / contractual net-interest changes and concession expiry · Dépôt 18/02/2026

As described in more detail above, our hydrocarbon-based energy products are also subject to growing and, in many cases, government-supported competition from alternative energy sources.

Risk Factors / alternative-energy competition · Dépôt 18/02/2026

The products bought and sold between segments can also be acquired in worldwide markets that have substantial liquidity, capacity, and transportation capabilities.

Liquidity and Capital Resources / availability of products in worldwide markets · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Although price levels of crude oil and natural gas may rise or fall significantly over the short to medium term due to global economic conditions, political events, decisions by OPEC or OPEC+ and other major government resource owners and other factors, industry economics over the long term will continue to be driven by market supply and demand.

Market Risks / supply-and-demand price formation · Dépôt 18/02/2026

According to the terms of contractual arrangements or government royalty regimes, price or spending variability can increase or decrease royalty burdens and/or volumes attributable to ExxonMobil.

Production driver definitions / contractual and royalty constraints · Dépôt 18/02/2026

2,478 541 555 1,071 Total 5,465 1,366 4,203 2,193 Energy Products Second Quarter Earnings Driver Analysis (millions of dollars) Volume / Mix Margin – Increased earnings by $3,180 million from stronger refining margins.

Energy Products Second Quarter Earnings Driver Analysis / stronger refining margins · Dépôt 03/08/2026

57 Table of Contents Financial Table of Contents MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES Sources and Uses of Cash (millions of dollars) 2025 2024 2023 Net cash provided by/(used in) Operating activities 51,970 55,022 55,369 Investing activities (25,927) (19,938) (19,274) Financing activities (39,081) (42,789) (34,297) Effect of exchange rate changes 532 (676) 105 Increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents (12,506) (8,381) 1,903 Total cash and cash equivalents (December 31) 10,681 23,187 31,568 Total cash and cash equivalents were $10.7 billion at the end of 2025, down $12.5 billion from the prior year.

Liquidity and Capital Resources / 2023–2025 cash flows and cash balances · Dépôt 18/02/2026

The major uses of funds included spending for additions to property, plant, and equipment of $28.4 billion; dividends to shareholders of $17.2 billion; the purchase of ExxonMobil stock of $20.3 billion; additional investments and advances of $4.1 billion; and a change in working capital of $7.7 billion.

Liquidity and Capital Resources / 2025 investment and shareholder distributions · Dépôt 18/02/2026

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY ExxonMobil Share of Equity (millions of dollars) Common Stock Earnings Reinvested Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income Common Stock Held in Treasury ExxonMobil Share of Equity Non-controlling Interests Total Equity Balance as of December 31, 2022 15,752 432,860 (13,270) (240,293) 195,049 7,424 202,473 Amortization of stock-based awards 565 — — — 565 — 565 Other (514) (2) — — (516) 89 (427) Net income (loss) for the year — 36,010 — — 36,010 1,344 37,354 Dividends - common shares — (14,941) — — (14,941) (531) (15,472) Other comprehensive income — — 1,281 — 1,281 261 1,542 Share repurchases, at cost — — — (17,993) (17,993) (851) (18,844) Issued for acquisitions 1,978 — — 2,866 4,844 — 4,844 Dispositions — — — 503 503 — 503 Balance as of December 31, 2023 17,781 453,927 (11,989) (254,917) 204,802 7,736 212,538 Amortization of stock-based awards 735 — — — 735 — 735 Other (1,027) — — — (1,027) (624) (1,651) Net income (loss) for the year — 33,680 — — 33,680 1,383 35,063 Dividends - common shares — (16,704) — — (16,704) (658) (17,362) Other comprehensive income — — (2,630) — (2,630) (320) (2,950) Share repurchases, at cost — — — (19,451) (19,451) (616) (20,067) Issued for acquisitions 28,749 — — 34,603 63,352 — 63,352 Dispositions — — — 948 948 — 948 Balance as of December 31, 2024 46,238 470,903 (14,619) (238,817) 263,705 6,901 270,606 Amortization of stock-based awards 812 — — — 812 — 812 Other (900) (22) — — (922) 762 (160) Net income (loss) for the year — 28,844 — — 28,844 920 29,764 Dividends - common shares — (17,231) — — (17,231) (947) (18,178) Other comprehensive income — — 3,756 — 3,756 313 4,069 Share repurchases, at cost — — — (20,467) (20,467) (709) (21,176) Dispositions — — — 889 889 — 889 Balance as of December 31, 2025 46,150 482,494 (10,863) (258,395) 259,386 7,240 266,626 Common Stock Share Activity (millions of shares) Issued Held in Treasury Outstanding Balance as of December 31, 2022 8,019 (3,937) 4,082 Share repurchases, at cost — (165) (165) Issued for acquisitions — 46 46 Dispositions — 8 8 Balance as of December 31, 2023 8,019 (4,048) 3,971 Share repurchases, at cost — (170) (170) Issued for acquisitions — 545 545 Dispositions — 7 7 Balance as of December 31, 2024 8,019 (3,666) 4,353 Share repurchases, at cost — (182) (182) Issued for acquisitions — — — Dispositions — 8 8 Balance as of December 31, 2025 8,019 (3,840) 4,179 75 Table of Contents Financial Table of Contents NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS The accompanying consolidated financial statements and the supporting and supplemental material are the responsibility of the management of Exxon Mobil Corporation.

Consolidated Statement of Changes in Equity / acquisition issuance and share repurchases · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Cash provided by operating activities totaled $32.3 billion for the first six months of 2026, $7.8 billion higher than 2025.

Liquidity and Capital Resources / first-half 2026 operating cash flow · Dépôt 03/08/2026

(millions of dollars) Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 2025 2026 2025 Additions to property, plant and equipment 6,527 6,283 12,997 12,181 Additional investments and advances 324 319 711 472 Other investing activities including collection of advances (102) (246) (734) (339) Inflows from noncontrolling interests for major projects — (23) — (45) Less: Advances and collections not related to capital expenditures or equity investments 38 270 — 270 Total Cash Capex (Non-GAAP) 6,787 6,603 12,974 12,539 Upstream 5,852 5,669 10,664 10,662 Energy Products 527 432 1,525 810 Chemical Products 307 279 489 570 Specialty Products 11 97 66 207 Other 90 126 230 290 Total Cash Capex (Non-GAAP) 6,787 6,603 12,974 12,539 23 Table of Contents Structural Cost Savings (Non-GAAP) Structural Cost Savings describes decreases in cash opex excluding energy and production taxes as a result of operational efficiencies, workforce reductions, divestment-related reductions, and other cost-savings measures that are expected to be sustainable compared to 2019 levels.

Cash Capital Expenditures and Structural Cost Savings / actual spending and savings definition · Dépôt 03/08/2026

The Corporation's debt to total capital ratio was 13.7 percent at the end of the second quarter of 2026 compared to 14.0 percent at year-end 2025.

Liquidity and Capital Resources / debt-to-capital ratio · Dépôt 03/08/2026

Awards of restricted (nonvested) common stock units granted under the 2003 Incentive Program totaled 9,852 thousand, 10,393 thousand, and 9,701 thousand in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.

Stock-based compensation / actual restricted-unit grants · Dépôt 18/02/2026

During the applicable restricted periods, the shares and units may not be sold or transferred and are subject to forfeiture.

Stock-based compensation / transfer restrictions and forfeiture · Dépôt 18/02/2026

The majority of the awards have graded vesting periods, with 50 percent of the shares and units in each award vesting after three years, and the remaining 50 percent vesting after seven years.

Stock-based compensation / three- and seven-year vesting · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Awards granted to a small number of senior executives have vesting periods of five years for 50 percent of the award and of 10 years for the remaining 50 percent of the award, except that for awards granted prior to 2020 the vesting of the 10-year portion of the award is delayed until retirement if later than 10 years.

Stock-based compensation / senior-executive five- and ten-year vesting · Dépôt 18/02/2026

(3) Under the 2004 Non-Employee Director Restricted Stock Plan approved by shareholders in May 2004, and the related standing resolution adopted by the Board, each non-employee director automatically receives 8,000 shares of restricted stock when first elected to the Board and, if the director remains in office, an additional 2,500 restricted shares each following year.

Equity Compensation Plan Information / adopted shareholder-approved director plan · Dépôt 18/02/2026

ITEM 13. CERTAIN RELATIONSHIPS AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS, AND DIRECTOR INDEPENDENCE Incorporated by reference to the portion entitled “Director Independence” of the section entitled “Corporate Governance” and the portion entitled “Related Person Transactions and Procedures” of the section entitled “Director and Executive Officer Stock Ownership” of the registrant’s 2026 Proxy Statement.

Item 13 / director independence and related-party disclosures incorporated by reference · Dépôt 18/02/2026

ExxonMobil has a long-standing commitment to the development of proprietary technology.

Business / proprietary technology commitment · Dépôt 18/02/2026

In addition, as we enter new markets in pursuit of lower-emission and other new business opportunities, we will need to compete effectively with established competitors in these markets, as well as with new market entrants seeking to capitalize on these opportunities, while successfully navigating changing market conditions or technologies.

Risk Factors / competition in new businesses · Dépôt 18/02/2026

6. Delivery Commitments ExxonMobil sells crude oil and natural gas from its producing operations under a variety of contractual obligations, some of which may specify the delivery of a fixed and determinable quantity for periods longer than one year.

Delivery Commitments · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Worldwide, we are contractually committed to deliver approximately 73 million barrels of oil and 2.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas for the period from 2026 through 2028.

Delivery Commitments; 2026–2028 · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Cash flows used in recoverability assessments are based on the assumptions developed in the Corporate Plan, which is reviewed and approved by the Board of Directors, and are consistent with the criteria management uses to evaluate investment opportunities.

Critical Accounting Estimates; Board review and approval of Corporate Plan · Dépôt 18/02/2026

(3) Under the 2004 Non-Employee Director Restricted Stock Plan approved by shareholders in May 2004, and the related standing resolution adopted by the Board, each non-employee director automatically receives 8,000 shares of restricted stock when first elected to the Board and, if the director remains in office, an additional 2,500 restricted shares each following year.

Equity Compensation Plan Information; shareholder-approved director restricted stock plan · Dépôt 18/02/2026

While on the Board, each non-employee director receives the same cash dividends on restricted shares as a holder of regular common stock, but the director is not allowed to sell the shares.

Equity Compensation Plan Information; director share-sale restriction · Dépôt 18/02/2026

ITEM 13. CERTAIN RELATIONSHIPS AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS, AND DIRECTOR INDEPENDENCE Incorporated by reference to the portion entitled “Director Independence” of the section entitled “Corporate Governance” and the portion entitled “Related Person Transactions and Procedures” of the section entitled “Director and Executive Officer Stock Ownership” of the registrant’s 2026 Proxy Statement.

Item 13; director independence and related-person transactions incorporated by reference · Dépôt 18/02/2026

Historique des publications

Historique des publications
VersionMis à jourAvantage concurrentiel
823/10/2026narrow
722/10/2026narrow
619/10/2026narrow
519/10/2026narrow
418/10/2026narrow
318/10/2026narrow
218/10/2026narrow
118/10/2026Indisponible

Sources

Méthode et limites de l’analyse · Comprendre ce concept