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Aflac

NYSE: AFL · USD

Aflac (AFL) Economic Moat Analysis63

Competitive advantages, dated evidence and erosion risks.

Narrow economic moat

Aflac’s established Japanese distribution relationships, broad bank access and demonstrated repeat demand support a narrow intangible-assets moat. Longstanding arrangements generate actual premiums, but nonexclusive distribution, competing product bundles and declining Japanese persistency limit protection. Pricing power remains unproven: disclosed repricing lacks direction and magnitude, while earnings reflect claims, investments and reinsurance. Recent sales growth supports adaptability, although contracting agency coverage and cyber incidents show erosion risks. The supplied capital disclosures support financial strength, with important limitations around the new Japanese solvency regime.

Intangible assets

Established Japanese distribution relationships and an enduring insurance franchise provide access to customers that a new entrant would need time to develop. Actual premium contributions and repeat demand support a current advantage; exclusivity, superior acquisition costs and customer lock-in are not established.

Durability
Commercial arrangements maintained since 2008 and their continuing 2025 premium contributions demonstrate persistence. Broad bank access and successful recent products support continued relevance, but do not establish guaranteed protection or an exceptional duration.
Competitors
Comparison not established
Erosion risks
Independent distributors can sell competing products. Intensifying competition, bundling and discounting, fewer Japanese agencies, lower premium persistency and operational security incidents could weaken distribution effectiveness and customer trust.
What would invalidate the thesis
The thesis would fail if important distribution relationships ended or became commercially ineffective, or if sustained deterioration in comparable persistency and new sales showed that the franchise could no longer retain and replenish business. Premium declines attributable to paid-up policies or reinsurance alone would not establish invalidation.
Evidence (8) · Counterevidence (8)

Changes since the previous analysis

  • Retain the narrow moat verdict and the existing assessment of unproven realized pricing power after re-examining the current catalog.
  • The current catalog includes management's estimated second-quarter regulatory ESR of 226%, or 240% including USP. This replaces the previous statement that no numerical ESR was supplied, but does not establish its missing capital denominator or independently verified current headroom.
  • Add management's explanation that elevated Japanese lapse activity includes policy reissues, and its disclosure that significant subsidiary dividends drove the quarter-over-quarter solvency-ratio decline.
  • Retain capital adequacy at 3 based on actual, defined year-end SMR and actual Bermuda compliance; do not rely on the fragmented 570% combined U.S. RBC disclosure or equate different capital denominators.

Evidence limitations

  • The evidence consists of issuer filings and issuer-furnished operating disclosures. Distribution contracts and reported outcomes support the assessment; management's competitive, capital-return and durability claims are not independent proof.
  • Competition passages identify generic carrier categories rather than named competitive comparisons. Entities named in distribution relationships or agency exclusions are not established as competitors by those passages, so the competitor array is empty.
  • No demonstrated relative acquisition-cost advantage, network effect, indispensable customer dependency, exclusive distribution barrier or quantified switching penalty is established.
  • Repricing direction, magnitude, comparable-policy pricing outcomes and existing-policy repricing rights are absent. Sales and premium changes combine volume, product mix, conversions, reinsurance and other effects.
  • The estimated 2026 ESR lacks its precise capital denominator and applicable intervention benchmark in the supplied passages. Actual 2025 SMR and Bermuda compliance support a bounded capital assessment, not a quantified current group solvency buffer.
  • Complete duration matching, reinsurance counterparty recoverability and realized venture returns are absent. All evidence used for non-null financial grades was filed during 2026, within 550 days of the assessment date.

Financial indicators to test against the thesis

Calculated from annual filings. Missing data remains unavailable. Detailed financial charts remain in the other topics.

Financial indicators to test against the thesis
PeriodGross marginOperating marginROICFCF margin
2021—22.3%——
2022—21.3%——
2023————
2024————
2025————

Pricing power—

  • Pricing outcomes

    The CEO disclosed repricing Tsumitasu for new policies, but supplied neither direction nor magnitude. New annualized premium sales include policies, riders and incremental conversions, so sales growth cannot isolate price realization. Claims experience, investment income and reinsurance also prevent deriving policy pricing power from premium or margin changes.

  • Customer demand

    Direct premium persistency demonstrates substantial repeat demand: Japan retained 92.7% and the U.S. 79.4% on the reported rolling measure. Japan declined 100 basis points while the U.S. improved 20. The Japanese methodology change limits comparisons with periods before 2025; these are premium measures rather than customer retention rates.

  • Margin resilience

    First-half pretax adjusted margin improved to 34.6% from 31.9% in Japan but declined to 20.6% from 21.6% in the U.S. Benefits experience explains important movements, and consolidated adjusted earnings fell 4.2%. This supports mixed profitability resilience, without attributing the outcome to policy pricing.

  • Pricing freedom

    Regulatory approval of policy forms and premium rates constrains unilateral pricing discretion. Actual new-policy repricing demonstrates some flexibility, but its terms are unspecified. The supplied passages do not establish broad Japanese pricing freedom or rights to change premiums on existing contracts, so demonstrated discretion remains limited.

Management56

  • Capital discipline

    Repurchases materially reduced average shares, and actual year-end solvency disclosures support capital capacity. However, 2025 parent treasury purchases and shareholder dividends exceeded parent operating inflows, with new borrowing contributing funding. Management also attributed a recent capital-ratio decline to subsidiary dividends. Repurchase investment returns are not demonstrated.

  • Incentive alignment

    Actual awards use multiyear return and solvency measures, and completed awards paid against measured performance. Performance stock can pay zero, supporting alignment. Compensation-specific adjustments increased the metric producing maximum annual pay, tempering that conclusion. Ownership guidelines are disclosed, but their compliance statement does not establish every executive's actual holding.

  • Execution

    Actual first-half sales growth in both markets and continued U.S. customer service during the cyber incident demonstrate execution. Japan's quarterly sales decline, weaker consolidated adjusted earnings and separate U.S. and Japan cyber incidents make outcomes mixed. This assessment uses operating evidence, rather than management's characterization of its performance.

  • Governance

    Independent committees, executive sessions, shareholder rights and final regulatory examinations without material findings support oversight. Actual ten-vote shares and a trust holding 20% of voting power limit equal shareholder influence, although voting restrictions bound the trust. Corrected adjusted financial calculations further temper confidence in exceptional oversight.

Sources and methodology

Current publication · Updated 21/10/2026 · Version 10

AI interpretation based on checked source excerpts. Issuer assertions and evidence limitations remain explicit.

Policy quality-scores-3: six equally weighted categories. The overall score requires full coverage. Missing inputs are not zero. Qualitative grades are sourced interpretations, not probabilities. 5/6 · 31/10/2026

Moat63

Equal-weight average of four evidence-backed rubric grades (0–4), scaled to 100.

structural advantage · 3/4 · Agreements covering approximately 90% of Japanese banks and longstanding commercial arrangements producing actual earned premiums support an established distribution franchise. These are current commercial assets, although nonexclusive distributors can sell competitors' products. Neither exclusive market access nor a demonstrated relative cost advantage is established.

durability · 3/4 · Arrangements maintained since 2008 still generated premiums in 2025, while recent product launches generated actual sales growth. That demonstrates persistence and adaptation across years. Intensifying competition and nonexclusive distribution limit protection, and the passages do not establish exceptional durability or future contractual renewal certainty.

customer dependency · 2/4 · Second-quarter premium persistency of 92.7% in Japan and 79.4% in the U.S. demonstrates repeat demand. It measures premiums remaining in force, not customer indispensability or contractual lock-in. Japan's decline and management's reported lapse-and-reissue activity also caution against interpreting persistency as strong switching friction.

erosion resilience · 2/4 · First-half sales increased in both markets, showing continued adaptation. However, Japan's quarterly sales and persistency declined, Japanese agency coverage contracted, and competing carriers bundle and discount products. The disclosed cyber incidents add operational vulnerability; their ultimate financial impact is not established.

Pricing power—

Insufficient evidence for every rubric criterion; no category score is inferred.

realized pricing · — · The CEO disclosed repricing Tsumitasu for new policies, but supplied neither direction nor magnitude. New annualized premium sales include policies, riders and incremental conversions, so sales growth cannot isolate price realization. Claims experience, investment income and reinsurance also prevent deriving policy pricing power from premium or margin changes.

retention · 3/4 · Direct premium persistency demonstrates substantial repeat demand: Japan retained 92.7% and the U.S. 79.4% on the reported rolling measure. Japan declined 100 basis points while the U.S. improved 20. The Japanese methodology change limits comparisons with periods before 2025; these are premium measures rather than customer retention rates.

margin resilience · 2/4 · First-half pretax adjusted margin improved to 34.6% from 31.9% in Japan but declined to 20.6% from 21.6% in the U.S. Benefits experience explains important movements, and consolidated adjusted earnings fell 4.2%. This supports mixed profitability resilience, without attributing the outcome to policy pricing.

contractual freedom · 1/4 · Regulatory approval of policy forms and premium rates constrains unilateral pricing discretion. Actual new-policy repricing demonstrates some flexibility, but its terms are unspecified. The supplied passages do not establish broad Japanese pricing freedom or rights to change premiums on existing contracts, so demonstrated discretion remains limited.

Predictability81

Financial-sector stability over 5 consecutive reported annual periods: equal weights for nondeclining revenue frequency, revenue-growth volatility (5–40pp), positive consolidated earnings frequency, and net-income/revenue margin volatility (3–20pp). Uses reported accounting scope; not industrial FCF or a growth forecast.

Nondeclining revenue years (%)
25.00
Revenue growth volatility (pp)
5.00
positiveEarningsShare
100.00
netMarginStdDev
3.27
observedAnnualPeriods
5.00

Financial strength69

Qualitative insurance assessment: equal-weight average of four current evidence-backed grades (0–4), scaled to 100. Policy financial-industry-1; not an industrial ratio score or credit rating.

capital adequacy · 3/4 · Actual December 2025 Japan SMR was 995%, using solvency margin divided by half the risk total; Aflac Re met ECR and MSM requirements. These support strong historical capital adequacy. The new regime limits current comparability: management estimates June ESR at 226%, but its denominator and intervention benchmark are absent.

liquidity funding · 3/4 · Parent cash of $2.646 billion and operating inflows of $3.710 billion at December 2025 demonstrate liquidity generation. The June filing reports an undrawn ¥100 billion revolving facility and covenant compliance. Regulated subsidiary remittances remain important, and ESR sensitivity could reduce those inflows or require parent capital contributions.

asset liability risk · 2/4 · Fixed maturities are predominantly investment grade at amortized cost, and first-half reserve remeasurement reduced claims expense. However, actual credit losses, substantial sovereign concentration, reinvestment below older liability-accretion requirements and ESR market sensitivity demonstrate meaningful exposures. Complete duration matching and reinsurance recoverability evidence is unavailable.

earnings resilience · 3/4 · The recent supplement reports positive net and adjusted earnings throughout 2021–2025 and first-half 2026. First-half net earnings reached $1.844 billion, while adjusted earnings declined 4.2% to $1.784 billion. Persistent profitability supports resilience, but investment volatility, reserve remeasurement and declining adjusted earnings preclude an exceptional assessment.

Capital allocation63

Qualitative insurance assessment: equal-weight average of four current evidence-backed grades (0–4), scaled to 100. Policy financial-industry-1; not an industrial ratio score or credit rating.

capital efficiency · 3/4 · First-half annualized GAAP ROE was 12.3%; adjusted ROE excluding foreign currency remeasurement was 16.7%. GAAP uses net earnings over average shareholders' equity. The adjusted measure changes both earnings and equity, excluding AOCI and specified cumulative currency-related gains and losses. Productive accounting returns are demonstrated; exceptional risk-adjusted returns are not.

distributions and buffers · 2/4 · Second-quarter buybacks of $983 million and dividends of $309 million demonstrate actual distributions alongside profitable operations. Actual year-end solvency supports capacity, but 2025 parent distributions exceeded operating inflows. Management attributed a subsequent capital-ratio decline to subsidiary dividends; precise current post-distribution regulatory headroom remains unestablished.

dilution and cost · 3/4 · First-half diluted weighted-average shares fell to 510.150 million from 542.629 million, demonstrating net reduction despite awards. Unrecognized restricted-stock compensation was $82 million at June 2026. First-half interest expense increased to $124 million from $102 million, so favorable dilution outcomes coexist with compensation and financing costs.

investment discipline · 2/4 · A predominantly investment-grade fixed-maturity portfolio supports risk discipline, but first-half credit losses of $138 million and realized securities losses show imperfect outcomes. Losses alone do not establish poor asset-liability decisions. Approximately $230 million was deployed against the $400 million venture commitment, without supplied realized venture returns.

Management56

Equal-weight average of four evidence-backed rubric grades (0–4), scaled to 100.

capital discipline · 2/4 · Repurchases materially reduced average shares, and actual year-end solvency disclosures support capital capacity. However, 2025 parent treasury purchases and shareholder dividends exceeded parent operating inflows, with new borrowing contributing funding. Management also attributed a recent capital-ratio decline to subsidiary dividends. Repurchase investment returns are not demonstrated.

incentive alignment · 3/4 · Actual awards use multiyear return and solvency measures, and completed awards paid against measured performance. Performance stock can pay zero, supporting alignment. Compensation-specific adjustments increased the metric producing maximum annual pay, tempering that conclusion. Ownership guidelines are disclosed, but their compliance statement does not establish every executive's actual holding.

execution · 2/4 · Actual first-half sales growth in both markets and continued U.S. customer service during the cyber incident demonstrate execution. Japan's quarterly sales decline, weaker consolidated adjusted earnings and separate U.S. and Japan cyber incidents make outcomes mixed. This assessment uses operating evidence, rather than management's characterization of its performance.

governance · 2/4 · Independent committees, executive sessions, shareholder rights and final regulatory examinations without material findings support oversight. Actual ten-vote shares and a trust holding 20% of voting power limit equal shareholder influence, although voting restrictions bound the trust. Corrected adjusted financial calculations further temper confidence in exceptional oversight.

Evidence

At December 31, 2025, Aflac Japan had agreements with approximately 90% of the total number of banks in Japan to sell its products.

2025 Form 10-K, filed 2026-02-25; Japanese bank distribution · Filed 25/02/2026

Since 2008, the Company and Aflac Japan have maintained various commercial and contractual arrangements with Japan Post Holdings and certain of its affiliates.

2026 proxy, filed 2026-03-19; commercial arrangements since 2008 · Filed 19/03/2026

Under these arrangements, affiliates of Japan Post Holdings conduct the sale of Aflac Japan cancer insurance policies and, among other things, provide supplemental support necessary or beneficial to effectuating the sale and servicing of such policies.

2026 proxy; Japan Post Holdings affiliate sales and servicing relationship · Filed 19/03/2026

Aflac Japan’s cancer insurance policies issued pursuant to these contractual arrangements constituted approximately 6.7% of Aflac Japan’s earned premium for 2025, representing approximately 3.3% of Aflac Incorporated’s total consolidated earned premium for 2025.

2026 proxy; relationship contribution to 2025 earned premiums · Filed 19/03/2026

The Company's sales associates, brokers and other distribution partners are independent contractors and may sell products of its competitors.

2025 Form 10-K; nonexclusive independent distribution · Filed 25/02/2026

Since the deregulation of the Japan market in 2001, the number of insurance companies offering stand-alone cancer and medical insurance has increased, intensifying competition.

2025 Form 10-K; Japanese competition following deregulation · Filed 25/02/2026

products. However, given the profitability erosion some major medical carriers are facing in their core lines of business, the Company has seen a more competitive landscape as these carriers seek entry into Aflac's supplemental product segments and leverage their core benefit offerings by bundling and discounting products in order to gain market share.

2025 Form 10-K; competing carriers' bundling and discounting · Filed 25/02/2026

rolling) 92.7 % 93.7 % (100) Total benefits and claims, net / Total net earned premiums 64.0 % 66.5 % (250) Total adjusted expenses / Total adjusted revenues 20.2 % 20.6 % (40) Pretax adjusted earnings / Total adjusted revenues 34.3 % 32.0 % 230 In yen terms, Aflac Japan's net earned premiums were ¥245.1 billion for the quarter, or 3.7% lower than a year ago, mainly due to the impact of a new external reinsurance transaction for WAYS and Tsumitasu as well as limited pay products reaching paid-up status.

Second-quarter 2026 results, filed 2026-08-06; Japan persistency, ratios and premium decline explanation · Filed 06/08/2026

rolling) 79.4 % 79.2 % 20 Total benefits and claims, net / Total net earned premiums 49.5 % 47.3 % 220 Total adjusted expenses / Total adjusted revenues 36.1 % 36.3 % (20) Pretax adjusted earnings / Total adjusted revenues 20.9 % 22.5 % (160) Aflac U.S.

Second-quarter 2026 results; U.S. persistency and operating ratios · Filed 06/08/2026

Premium persistency is the percentage of premiums remaining in force at the end of a period, usually one year, and presented on a trailing 12-month average basis.

June 2026 Form 10-Q, filed 2026-08-07; premium persistency definition · Filed 07/08/2026

Beginning January 2025, the Company implemented a new methodology of calculating persistency rate which excludes annuitizations, premium halving and waiver premium from the terminations; prior periods have not been retroactively adjusted.

June 2026 financial supplement, filed 2026-08-06; Japan persistency methodology change · Filed 06/08/2026

2025 Selected Results •Aflac Japan’s sales grew 16.0% for the year reflecting robust sales of Miraito, our latest cancer insurance product, and the continued success of agencies selling Tsumitasu, our repriced life insurance product which offers an asset formation component and options such as nursing care.

2026 proxy; 2025 Japan sales and product results · Filed 19/03/2026

For the quarter, total new annualized premium sales (sales) decreased 5.6% to ¥19.6 billion, or $123 million, reflecting a high prior-year sales baseline for Miraito cancer insurance following its launch in March 2025, partially offset by strong growth in the refreshed Tsumitasu savings-type life insurance and Anshin Palette, the new medical insurance product launched in December 2025.

Second-quarter 2026 results; Japan quarterly sales and product-launch comparison · Filed 06/08/2026

For the first six months, sales increased 7.0% to ¥37.3 billion, or $235 million.

Second-quarter 2026 results; Japan first-half new annualized premium sales · Filed 06/08/2026

(2) Effective March 31, 2026, Child Endowment is now included with Ordinary Life Other for all periods presented 29 Aflac Japan Aflac Japan Sales Force Data Number of Agencies by Type Sales Contribution by Agency Type 1 Period Individual/ Independent Corporate Affiliated Corporate Bank Total Individual/ Independent Corporate Affiliated Corporate Bank Licensed Sales Associates (1) Recruited Agencies 2021 6,779 1,283 360 8,422 51.1 % 43.7 % 5.2 % 111,854 62 2022 6,159 1,239 359 7,757 49.5 46.5 4.0 110,259 38 2023 5,751 1,203 360 7,314 46.7 50.0 3.3 113,010 24 2024 5,384 1,166 360 6,910 48.2 48.6 3.2 113,836 50 2025 5,155 1,125 358 6,638 47.5 49.2 3.3 111,915 236 2024 1 5,659 1,191 360 7,210 48.9 48.0 3.1 112,645 12 2 5,542 1,180 360 7,082 49.5 48.4 2.1 114,424 12 3 5,464 1,176 360 7,000 46.2 50.2 3.6 114,473 19 4 5,384 1,166 360 6,910 48.5 47.7 3.8 113,836 7 2025 1 5,300 1,155 358 6,813 52.8 43.8 3.4 112,996 18 2 5,225 1,141 358 6,724 46.8 50.4 2.8 111,387 76 3 5,213 1,136 358 6,707 45.1 51.4 3.5 111,736 73 4 5,155 1,125 358 6,638 47.0 49.5 3.5 111,915 69 2026 1 5,110 1,116 357 6,583 52.4 44.6 3.0 111,084 82 2 5,091 1,103 356 6,550 50.0 47.3 2.7 110,750 139 (1) Excludes Dai-ichi Life, banks, Japan Post Group and Daido Life 30 Aflac Japan Yen/Dollar Exchange Rates 1 Period Closing Rate (1) Quarterly Average Yearly Cumulative Average % Change 2021 115.02

June 2026 financial supplement; Japanese agency counts, sales contribution and exclusions · Filed 06/08/2026

For the first six months, total new sales increased 2.8% to $667 million.

Second-quarter 2026 results; U.S. first-half new sales · Filed 06/08/2026

We continue to promote awareness for third sector protection to new and younger customers through our innovative first sector product Tsumitasu, which was repriced for new policies effective in September.

Fourth-quarter 2025 results, filed 2026-02-04; CEO disclosure of new-policy repricing · Filed 04/02/2026

•approval of policy forms and premium rates

2025 Form 10-K; regulatory approval of policy forms and premium rates · Filed 25/02/2026

As a result, the pretax adjusted profit margin for the Japan segment was 34.6%, compared with 31.9% a year ago.

Second-quarter 2026 results; Japan first-half pretax adjusted margin · Filed 06/08/2026

segment was 20.6%, compared with 21.6% a year ago.

Second-quarter 2026 results; U.S. first-half pretax adjusted margin · Filed 06/08/2026

Pretax adjusted earnings in yen for the quarter increased 3.4% on a reported basis to ¥118.2 billion, primarily driven by favorable benefits.

Second-quarter 2026 results; favorable benefits contributing to Japan earnings · Filed 06/08/2026

Pretax adjusted earnings were $370 million, 4.6% lower than a year ago, primarily driven by higher benefits.

Second-quarter 2026 results; higher benefits contributing to U.S. earnings decline · Filed 06/08/2026

(In Millions, except per-share data) Years Ended December 31, 3 Months Ended June 30, 6 Months Ended June 30, 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025 2026 % Change 2025 2026 % Change Aflac Japan $ 3,756 $ 3,281 $ 3,234 $ 3,494 $ 3,440 $ 790 $ 741 (6.2) % $ 1,512 $ 1,500 (0.8) % Aflac U.S.

June 2026 financial supplement; dates, units and Japan segment earnings table context · Filed 06/08/2026

1,356 1,359 1,501 1,419 1,421 388 370 (4.6) 746 733 (1.7) 1 Corporate and other (1) (293) (218) (425) 32 101 20 (10) 63 (10) Pretax adjusted earnings 4,819 4,422 4,310 4,945 4,962 1,198 1,101 (8.1) 2,321 2,223 (4.2) Income taxes (1) 893 808 577 873 954 241 218 (9.5) 458 439 (4.1) 2 Adjusted earnings (2) 3,925 3,614 3,733 4,072 4,008 957 883 (7.7) 1,863 1,784 (4.2) Reconciling items: Adjusted net investment gains (losses) 462 447 914 1,495 (375) (377) (106) (1,301) (3) Other and non-recurring income (loss) (73) 1 39 (23) (54) — — (53) — 3 Income tax benefit (expense) on items excluded from adjusted earnings (3) (83) 357 (26) (101) 67 19 48 119 63 Net earnings $ 4,231 $ 4,418 $ 4,659 $ 5,443 $ 3,646 $ 599 $ 825 37.7 % $ 628 $ 1,844

June 2026 financial supplement; 2021–2025 and first-half 2026 adjusted and net earnings · Filed 06/08/2026

199 SCHEDULE II CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION OF REGISTRANT Aflac Incorporated (Parent Only) Condensed Statements of Cash Flows Years ended December 31, (In millions) 2025 2024 2023 Cash flows from operating activities: Net earnings $ 3,646 $ 5,443 $ 4,659 Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to net cash provided from operating activities: Equity in earnings of subsidiaries(1) (3,708) (5,090) (4,418) Cash dividends received from subsidiaries 3,824 4,274 3,410 Other, net (52) (292) (686) Net cash provided (used) by operating activities 3,710 4,335 2,965 Cash flows from investing activities: Fixed maturity securities sold 824 572 547 Fixed maturity securities purchased (772) (695) (345) Other investments sold (purchased) 125 (243) (34) Settlement of derivatives 277 469 693 Additional capitalization of subsidiaries(1) (15) (84) (203) Other, net (58) 0 1 Net cash provided (used) by investing activities 381 19 659 Cash flows from financing activities: Purchases of treasury stock (3,530) (2,800) (2,801) Proceeds from borrowings 1,039 823 0 Principal payments under debt obligations (84) 0 0 Dividends paid to shareholders (1,198) (1,087) (966) Treasury stock reissued 8 14 17 Proceeds from exercise of stock options 7 9 13 Net change in amount due to/from subsidiaries(1) 25 (5) (6) Other, net (20) (7) (17) Net cash provided (used) by financing activities (3,753) (3,053) (3,760) Net change in cash and cash equivalents 338 1,301 (136) Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period 2,308 1,007 1,143 Cash and cash equivalents, end of period $ 2,646 $ 2,308 $ 1,007 (1) Eliminated in consolidation See the accompanying Notes to Condensed Financial Statements.

2025 Form 10-K; parent-only cash flows, financing, distributions and cash balance · Filed 25/02/2026

•The company returned $1.3 billion to shareholders, consisting of $983 million in share repurchase and $309 million in dividends.

Second-quarter 2026 results; actual repurchases and shareholder dividends · Filed 06/08/2026

The Company's systems were not affected by ransomware, and the Company remained able to serve its policyholders and underwrite policies, review claims, and otherwise service customers as usual.

2025 Form 10-K; customer service continuity during U.S. cyber incident · Filed 25/02/2026

In December 2025, the Company determined that personal information associated with approximately 22.65 million individuals was involved.

2025 Form 10-K; individuals whose information was involved in U.S. cyber incident · Filed 25/02/2026

At this time, the full scope and potential ultimate impact of the June 2026 Japan Cyber Incident on the Company are not known.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; unknown ultimate impact of Japan cyber incident · Filed 07/08/2026

The PBRS will vest based on the Company’s achievement on a combination of these measures—AROE, RBC, SMR/ESR —for the cumulative three-year performance period beginning January 1, 2025 and ending December 31, 2027.

2026 proxy; 2025–2027 performance-based restricted stock measures and vesting period · Filed 19/03/2026

For all NEOs except, Mr. Miller, these awards were paid at 172% times the target number of shares initially awarded based on the three-year average results for each of the currency neutral AROE, SMR, and RBC metrics.

2026 proxy; actual completed performance award payout · Filed 19/03/2026

EXECUTIVE COMPENSATION 2026 PROXY STATEMENT 49 2025 MIP Targets and Actual Performance Corporate Metric Adjusted earnings per diluted share on a currency-neutral basis for the full year came in at $7.46 per share, and the MIP definition of the metric increased the achieved result to $7.52 on a currency-neutral basis, resulting in a maximum payout for 2025.

2026 proxy; adjusted compensation metric and maximum 2025 annual payout · Filed 19/03/2026

Actual performance, including modification for relative total shareholder return, may result in the ultimate award of 0% to 200% of the initial number of performance-based restricted stock issued, with the potential for no award if the Company's performance goals are not achieved.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; performance stock payout range and possibility of no award · Filed 07/08/2026

Compliance Status Each current NEO and Non-employee Director has stock ownership that exceeds the ownership guidelines or is working toward meeting the requisite guideline within the allowed time frame.

2026 proxy; ownership-guideline compliance status · Filed 19/03/2026

In particular: •a substantial majority of our Board members are independent; •the Audit and Risk, Compensation, and Corporate Governance Committees all comprise independent Directors; •the Company has a Lead Non-Management Director with significant responsibilities, as described below; •the Non-employee Directors meet at each regularly scheduled Board meeting in executive session without management present; •the Corporate Governance Committee oversees and manages the annual assessment of Board performance, which includes consideration of the effectiveness of our Board leadership structure; •our shareholders have several avenues to make their views known, including the ability to amend the Bylaws of the Company, to call a special meeting of shareholders and to include director nominations in our proxy materials; and •members of our management team and/or independent Directors proactively engage on a year-round basis with our shareholders to understand their perspectives on our business, strategy, management, Board, and governance practices.

2026 proxy; independent oversight, executive sessions and shareholder rights · Filed 19/03/2026

The total number of shares of the Company’s Common Stock entitled to vote at the meeting was 515,183,672, of which 85,520,827 directly registered shares were entitled to ten votes per share and 23,397,450 shares held in “street” or “nominee” name exercised ten votes per share.

May 2026 annual-meeting results, filed 2026-05-07; actual ten-vote shares · Filed 07/05/2026

The shares owned by J&A Alliance Trust (the "Trust") represented, in aggregate, 20% of the total voting power of the Company's Common Stock.

May 2026 annual-meeting results; trust's voting-power concentration · Filed 07/05/2026

The Shareholders Agreement, entered into on February 28, 2019, by the Company, Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd., J&A Alliance Holdings Corporation, solely in its capacity as trustee of the Trust, and General Incorporated Association J&A Alliance, provides voting restrictions that require the Trust to vote (i) all shares representing voting rights in excess of 20% of the voting rights in the Company and (ii) all of its shares in connection with a change in control transaction, in each case, in a manner proportionally equal to votes of shares not beneficially owned by the Trust.

May 2026 annual-meeting results; restrictions on trust voting · Filed 07/05/2026

There were no material findings in any of the NDOI and NYSDFS final examination reports.

2025 Form 10-K; final regulatory examination findings · Filed 25/02/2026

(2) Due to a calculation error, we have corrected the Adjusted BV Per Share Excluding Foreign Currency Remeasurement G/(L) and percentage changes for Q2 and Q3 2025.

June 2026 financial supplement; correction of adjusted book-value calculations · Filed 06/08/2026

As of December 31, 2025, Aflac Japan's SMR was 995%, compared with 1,221% at December 31, 2024.

2025 Form 10-K; actual December 2025 and 2024 Japan SMR · Filed 25/02/2026

Solvency Margin Ratio (SMR) is solvency margin total divided by one half of the risk total.

2025 Form 10-K; SMR's exact denominator · Filed 25/02/2026

At December 31, 2025 and 2024, Aflac Re was in compliance with the ECR and MSM requirements.

2025 Form 10-K; actual Aflac Re ECR and MSM compliance · Filed 25/02/2026

The FSA has introduced an economic value-based solvency regulation as a new prudential regulatory framework for insurance companies, effective from the fiscal year-end of 2025.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; introduction of Japan's economic-value solvency regime · Filed 07/08/2026

In accordance with this regulation, Aflac Japan made its initial disclosure of the ESR as of March 31, 2026 in July 2026.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; initial March 2026 ESR disclosure timing · Filed 07/08/2026

We ended the quarter with an estimated regulatory ESR of 226%.

Second-quarter 2026 CFO update, filed 2026-08-06; estimated quarter-end regulatory ESR · Filed 06/08/2026

If including the undertaking-specific parameter, or USP, this would add 14 points to the regulatory ratio and result in an ESR, with USP, of 240%.

Second-quarter 2026 CFO update; separately stated USP effect on estimated ESR · Filed 06/08/2026

The decline quarter over quarter was primarily driven by significant subsidiary dividends.

Second-quarter 2026 CFO update; subsidiary dividends driving quarter-over-quarter capital-ratio decline · Filed 06/08/2026

Aflac Japan's ESR is sensitive to interest rate, credit spread, and foreign exchange rate changes; therefore, the Company continues to evaluate alternatives for reducing this sensitivity, including the reduction of subsidiary dividends paid to the Parent Company and Parent Company capital contributions.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; ESR sensitivities and possible subsidiary funding responses · Filed 07/08/2026

Business Purpose Aflac Incorporated and Aflac uncommitted bilateral 364 days December 4, 2026 $100 million $0 million The rate quoted by the bank and agreed upon at the time of borrowing Up to 3 months None General corporate purposes Aflac Incorporated unsecured revolving 5 years May 13, 2030, or the date commitments are terminated pursuant to an event of default ¥100.0 billion ¥0.0 billion A rate per annum equal to, at the Company's option, either (a) Tokyo Interbank Market Rate (TIBOR) plus an applicable margin or (b) an alternative TIBOR based on the rate offered by the agent to major banks in yen for the applicable period plus an applicable margin No later than May 14, 2030 .28% to .45%, depending on the Parent Company's debt ratings as of the date of determination

June 2026 Form 10-Q; yen revolving facility capacity, borrowing balance and terms · Filed 07/08/2026

dollar-denominated borrowings or three-month TIBOR plus 68 basis points per annum for Japanese yen-denominated borrowings No later than December 2, 2026 None General corporate purposes (1) Intercompany credit agreement The Company was in compliance with all of the covenants of its notes payable and lines of credit at June 30, 2026.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; June 30 covenant compliance · Filed 07/08/2026

The Parent Company depends on its subsidiaries for cash flow, primarily in the form of dividends and management fees.

2025 Form 10-K; parent dependence on subsidiary cash flows · Filed 25/02/2026

These payments are also subject to various regulatory restrictions and approvals related to safeguarding the interests of insurance policyholders.

2025 Form 10-K; regulatory restrictions on subsidiary payments · Filed 25/02/2026

Investment exposures that individually exceeded 10% of shareholders' equity were as follows: June 30, 2026 December 31, 2025 (In millions) Credit Rating Amortized Cost Fair Value Credit Rating Amortized Cost Fair Value Japan National Government(1) A+ $29,714 $24,612 A+ $32,618 $28,434 (1) Japan Government Bonds (JGBs) or JGB-backed securities 16 Net Investment Gains and Losses Information regarding pretax net investment gains and losses was as follows: Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, (In millions) 2026 2025 2026 2025 Net investment gains (losses): Sales and redemptions: Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale: Gross gains from sales $ 0 $ 5 $ 1 $ 119 Gross losses from sales (837) (98) (978) (333) Foreign currency gains (losses) 599 79 725 240 Other investments: Gross gains (losses) from sales and redemptions 0 11 (2) 12 Total sales and redemptions (238) (3) (254) 38 Equity securities 87 98 73 37 Impairment losses (11) (6) (35) (6) Credit losses: Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity 0 0 1 0 Commercial mortgage and other loans (76) (61) (126) (114) Loan commitments (1) 2 1 0 Reinsurance recoverables and other 0 1 (14) 1 Total credit losses (77) (58) (138) (113) Derivatives and other: Derivative gains (losses) (134) 23 (229) (22) Foreign currency gains (losses) 220 (475) 479 (1,318) Total derivatives and other 86 (452) 250 (1,340) Total net investment gains (losses) $ (153) $ (421) $ (104) $ (1,384) In the three-month period ended June 30, 2026, the Company did not recognize impairment losses on real estate owned (REO) properties.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; concentrated sovereign exposure and investment and credit losses · Filed 07/08/2026

Currently, when the Company's fixed maturity securities mature, the proceeds may be reinvested at a yield below that required for the accretion of policy benefit liabilities on policies issued in earlier years.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; reinvestment yields versus older policy liability accretion · Filed 07/08/2026

Transitional Real Estate (floating rate) 5,246 6,455 5,998 4,703 3,611 4,115 3,029 Middle Market Loans (floating rate) 4,601 5,028 4,531 4,283 4,266 4,228 4,388 Commercial Mortgage Loans 1,854 1,775 1,697 1,523 1,443 1,478 1,362 Other Loans 20 238 301 360 445 443 575 Total Commercial mortgage and other loans, net of allowance for credit losses 11,721 13,496 12,527 10,869 9,765 10,264 9,354 Equity Securities, at FV through net earnings 1,603 1,091 1,088 796 887 882 925 1 Alternatives (1) 1,703 2,107 2,619 3,167 3,809 3,464 4,052 Total Portfolio $ 122,396 $ 111,219 $ 104,742 $ 94,887 $ 95,844 $ 102,074 $ 95,026 Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Invested Assets (In Millions) December 31, June 30, 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025 2026 Fixed Maturity Securities: Available For Sale - Gross Gains $ 13,566 $ 4,800 $ 6,050 $ 5,308 $ 4,782 $ 4,072 $ 4,289 Available For Sale - Gross Losses (239) (4,528) (3,449) (4,128) (5,924) (5,223) (6,631) Total Available For Sale 13,327 272 2,601 1,180 (1,142) (1,151) (2,342) Held to Maturity - Gross Gains 4,869 2,154 1,838 815 87 446 8 Held to Maturity - Gross Losses — — — (9) (731) (273) (1,257) Total Held to Maturity $ 4,869 $ 2,154 $ 1,838 $ 806 $ (644) $ 173 $ (1,249) Credit Ratings on Fixed Maturities (At Amortized Cost) December 31, June 30, Credit Rating: 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025 2026 AAA 1.0 % 1.6 % 1.6 % 1.5 % 1.1 % 1.4 % 1.3 % AA 5.1 5.2 5.7 6.0 6.6 6.3 7.0 A 68.9 68.0 68.1 68.0 69.0 68.5 69.0 BBB 22.5 23.0 22.9 22.9 21.9 22.2 21.4 BB or Lower 2.5 2.2 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.3 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % (1) Presented at carrying value; includes asset classes such as private equity and real estate funds managed by Global Investments; excludes Corporate driven activity, policy loans, short-term investments, real estate owned assets and FHLB equity balances 11 Aflac Incorporat

June 2026 financial supplement; investment portfolio, fixed-maturity ratings at amortized cost and scope footnote · Filed 06/08/2026

Financial Statements. Aflac Incorporated and Subsidiaries Consolidated Statements of Earnings Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, (In millions, except for share and per-share amounts - Unaudited) 2026 2025 2026 2025 Revenues: Net earned premiums, principally supplemental health insurance (1) $ 3,252 $ 3,470 $ 6,562 $ 6,851 Net investment income 984 1,081 1,940 2,036 Net investment gains (losses) (153) (421) (104) (1,384) Other income (loss) 34 30 65 55 Total revenues 4,117 4,160 8,463 7,558 Benefits and expenses: Benefits and claims, excluding reserve remeasurement 1,898 2,047 3,812 4,033 Reserve remeasurement (gains) losses (46) (37) (128) (78) Total benefits and claims, net 1,852 2,010 3,684 3,955 Acquisition and operating expenses: Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 218 221 439 437 Insurance commissions 239 251 476 491 Insurance and other expenses 749 804 1,520 1,606 Interest expense 64 52 124 102 Total acquisition and operating expenses 1,270 1,328 2,559 2,636 Total benefits and expenses 3,122 3,338 6,243 6,591 Earnings before income taxes 995 822 2,220 967 Income taxes 170 223 376 339 Net earnings $ 825 $ 599 $ 1,844 $ 628 Net earnings per share: Basic $ 1.64 $ 1.12 $ 3.63 $ 1.16 Diluted 1.63 1.11 3.61 1.16 Weighted-average outstanding common shares used in computing earnings per share (In thousands): Basic 504,123 536,688 508,572 540,676 Diluted 505,578 538,425 510,150 542,629 Cash dividends per share $ .61 $ .58 $ 1.22 $ 1.16 (1) Includes a gain (loss) of an immaterial amount for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively, related to remeasurement of the deferred profit liability for limited-payment contracts.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; consolidated earnings, claims, reserve remeasurement, interest expense and share counts · Filed 07/08/2026

8 Aflac Incorporated and Subsidiaries Return on Equity Year ended December 31, 3 Months Ended June 30, 6 Months Ended June 30, 1 2021 (4) 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025 2026 2025 2026 2 U.S.

June 2026 financial supplement; return-on-equity table period headings · Filed 06/08/2026

GAAP ROE - Net earnings (1) 26.7 % 23.8 % 22.1 % 22.6 % 13.1 % 9.0 % 10.9 % 4.7 % 12.3 % Impact of excluding unrealized foreign currency translation gains (losses) (1.7) (2.5) (3.1) (3.6) (2.6) (1.5) (2.0) (0.8) (2.2) Impact of excluding unrealized gains (losses) on securities and derivatives 10.7 4.1 0.2 0.4 (0.5) (0.5) (1.1) (0.2) (1.0) Impact of excluding effect on change in discount rate assumptions (18.5) (8.2) (1.9) (0.2) 2.6 1.6 3.9 0.7 4.0 Impact of excluding pension liability adjustment (0.2) (0.1) — — — — — — — Impact of excluding AOCI (9.7) (6.8) (4.9) (3.4) (0.4) (0.4) 0.9 (0.3) 0.9 U.S.

June 2026 financial supplement; GAAP ROE and AOCI reconciliation · Filed 06/08/2026

GAAP ROE - less AOCI 17.0 17.0 17.2 19.2 12.8 8.6 11.9 4.4 13.2 3 Differences between adjusted earnings and net earnings (2) (1.2) (3.1) (3.4) (4.8) 1.3 5.1 0.8 8.7 (0.4) 4 Adjusted ROE - reported (3) 15.8 13.9 13.8 14.4 14.0 13.7 12.7 13.1 12.8 5 Less: Impact of excluding gains (losses) associated with foreign currency remeasurement (5) — 1.0 1.8 2.9 3.6 2.9 3.9 3.0 3.9 Adjusted ROE, excluding foreign currency remeasurement (5)(6) 16.0 14.9 15.6 17.3 17.6 16.6 16.6 16.1 16.7 (1) U.S.

June 2026 financial supplement; adjusted ROE reconciliation · Filed 06/08/2026

GAAP ROE is calculated by dividing net earnings (annualized) by average shareholders' equity.

Second-quarter 2026 results; GAAP ROE definition · Filed 06/08/2026

•Adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement is annualized adjusted earnings divided by average shareholders’ equity, excluding both accumulated other comprehensive income and the cumulative (beginning January 1, 2021) foreign currency gains/losses associated with i) foreign currency remeasurement and ii) sales and redemptions of invested assets.

Second-quarter 2026 results; adjusted ROE numerator and equity exclusions · Filed 06/08/2026

(In thousands of shares) Shares Weighted-Average Grant-Date Fair Value Per Share Restricted stock at December 31, 2025 1,867 $ 86.15 Granted in 2026 928 119.68 Canceled in 2026 (18) 101.26 Vested in 2026 (1,093) 75.39 Restricted stock at June 30, 2026 1,684 $ 102.84 As of June 30, 2026, total compensation cost not yet recognized in the Company's consolidated financial statements related to restricted stock was $82 million, of which $42 million (1.4 million shares) was related to performance-based restricted stock.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; restricted shares and unrecognized compensation cost · Filed 07/08/2026

As part of its overall corporate strategy, the Company has committed up to $400 million to Aflac Ventures, LLC (Aflac Ventures) as opportunities emerge, of which approximately $230 million has been deployed as of June 30, 2026.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; venture commitment and actual deployment · Filed 07/08/2026

We have continued to experience somewhat elevated lapse and reissue activity on recently launched products as we have expanded coverage options and competitiveness on new products.

Second-quarter 2026 CFO update; management explanation of elevated lapse and reissue activity · Filed 06/08/2026

New annualized premium sales generally represent annual premiums on policies and riders the Company sold and incremental increases from policy conversions that would be collected over a 12-month period assuming the policies remain in force for that entire period.

June 2026 financial supplement; new annualized premium sales definition · Filed 06/08/2026

Pretax adjusted profit margin is adjusted earnings divided by adjusted revenues, before taxes are applied.

June 2026 Form 10-Q; pretax adjusted profit margin definition · Filed 07/08/2026

Publication history

Publication history
VersionUpdatedCompetitive advantage
1031/10/2026narrow
928/10/2026narrow
824/10/2026narrow
723/10/2026narrow
622/10/2026narrow
519/10/2026narrow
418/10/2026uncertain
318/10/2026uncertain
218/10/2026uncertain
118/10/2026Unavailable

Sources

Research methodology and limitations · What is an economic moat?