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Fastenal

FAST
NASDAQ
$46.77

How predictable is Fastenal's business?

Revenue is diversified, recurring, and tied to essential MRO and production flows, with 75.9% of 2025 sales to manufacturing customers and only 8.1% to nonresidential construction.

Digital channels and managed inventory create contractual or behaviorally recurring demand with strong visibility. 2025 delivered 8.7% net sales growth and 9.1% daily sales growth. Early 2026 monthly updates show acceleration, with daily sales up 12.0% in January and 13.3% in February, led by heavy manufacturing, contract accounts, and FMI.

This cadence, combined with low customer concentration and a conservative balance sheet, supports above-average predictability through cycles. Key watch items are macro industrial demand and tariff or freight volatility.