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Howmet Aerospace

NYSE: HWM · USD

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Economic Moat Analysis—

Competitive advantages, dated evidence and erosion risks.

Analysis needs refresh

Narrow economic moat

Howmet has a narrow moat supported by specialized manufacturing intellectual property and know-how, with demonstrated pricing above cost pass-through in 2025 and the first half of 2026. The evidence supports current differentiation but does not establish exceptional durability, customer qualification barriers, or costly switching. Competitive substitution, customer bargaining power and technological change remain credible erosion paths.

Intangible assets

A substantial patent portfolio and manufacturing-process and material-composition trade secrets support differentiated engine and other engineered components. Realized pricing above inflationary and material cost pass-through corroborates commercial value, although it does not establish that intellectual property alone caused the pricing outcome.

Durability
Continued patent development and dispersed intellectual property support persistence beyond a single product or patent. However, patent lives, competitive manufacturing capabilities and program-level customer commitments are absent, limiting confidence in long-term durability.
Competitors
Comparison not established
Erosion risks
Customers can seek alternative suppliers or enter production themselves. Emerging technologies and competing products could weaken differentiation. Aircraft production disruptions also affect demand without necessarily indicating moat erosion. The reported pricing and operating improvements weigh against treating generic competition risks as realized competitive weakness.
What would invalidate the thesis
The thesis would weaken materially if customers demonstrably replaced Howmet components with interchangeable alternatives, competitors replicated its processes without meaningful disadvantage, or sustained price concessions beyond changes in costs and product mix accompanied lost business. Margin declines alone would not establish invalidation.
Evidence (7) · Counterevidence (4)

Changes since the previous analysis

  • No comparable previous version; previous accepted analysis was null.

Evidence limitations

  • Assessment uses only the supplied passages from filings dated February 12, April 6 and August 6, 2026; each date retains dateKind filed. No later operating developments are established.
  • No competitors are specifically identified as competitors in the supplied passages. Named customers, acquisition targets and companies in director biographies do not establish competitor coverage.
  • The intellectual-property portfolio is disclosed, but its competitive significance is primarily an issuer assertion. Patent counts do not establish remaining patent lives, enforceability, superiority or barriers to replication.
  • Customer qualification requirements, switching costs, sole-source positions, market shares, customer-level renewals and contract durations are absent. Demand and engine-spares growth provide only indirect retention evidence.
  • Pricing above cost pass-through is reported for actual periods, but customer-level price changes, concessions, volumes and contract repricing rights are not quantified.
  • Acquisitions, divestitures, demand growth, product mix and restructuring credits affect operating comparisons. Improved margins alone do not establish a moat.
  • Actual acquisition spending and financing are disclosed, but acquisition returns, full operating cash generation and repurchase valuation discipline cannot be established from these passages.
  • The proxy supplies actual compensation structures and governance practices, but detailed executive ownership and the terms of the special CEO equity award are missing. Nominee independence disclosures do not establish subsequent election results.

Financial indicators to test against the thesis

Calculated from annual filings. Missing data remains unavailable. Detailed financial charts remain in the other topics.

Financial indicators to test against the thesis
PeriodGross marginOperating marginROICFCF margin
202127.7%15.0%8.2%5.0%
202227.5%16.2%10.2%9.5%
202328.1%18.1%13.4%10.3%
202431.1%22.0%18.9%13.1%
202534.2%24.8%22.4%17.3%

Pricing power—

Insufficient verified evidence to assign a score.

Management—

Insufficient verified evidence to assign a score.

Sources and methodology

Analysis needs refresh · Updated 17/10/2026 · Version 5

AI interpretation based on checked source excerpts. Issuer assertions and evidence limitations remain explicit.

Policy quality-scores-2: six equally weighted categories. The overall score requires full coverage. Missing inputs are not zero. Qualitative grades are sourced interpretations, not probabilities. 3/6 · 23/10/2026

Moat—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Pricing power—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Predictability98

Five consecutive annual periods. Equal weights: nondeclining revenue frequency; revenue-growth volatility (5–40pp); positive FCF frequency; FCF-margin volatility (3–20pp). Stability indicator, not a growth forecast.

Nondeclining revenue years (%)
100.00
Revenue growth volatility (pp)
2.38
Positive FCF years (%)
100.00
FCF margin volatility (pp)
4.08

Financial strength89

Equal-weight grades: debt/FCF (1–8x), net debt/earnings before interest and tax (0–5x), interest service (1–12x), current ratio (0.75–2x). Earnings use reported operating income, or reported pretax profit plus reported interest expense when operating income is unavailable. Interest service uses earnings/interest expense; if unavailable, it uses reported operating cash flow/cash interest paid, without relabeling cash paid as accrued expense. Nonpositive cash flow/earnings score 0 for their service component; reported zero interest with a positive numerator scores 100. Net cash scores 100 for net leverage. Missing disclosures remain unavailable. General nonfinancial-company rubric, not a credit rating; exceptional and nonoperating gains are not normalized out. IFRS finance-cost and cash-flow classifications retain their reported scope.

debtFcfGrade
83.84
netDebtEbitGrade
77.44
interestCoverageGrade
96.59
currentRatioGrade
100.00
Debt / FCF (x)
2.13
Net debt / operating income (x)
1.13
Interest coverage (x)
11.63
Current ratio (x)
2.13

Capital allocation95

Three-year equal-weight indicators: pretax return on average invested capital (0–25%; equity + debt − cash, each year and its prior year), share-count growth (0–5%, lower better), share-based cost/revenue (2–20%, lower better), consolidated FCF/net income (0–1x). Return uses reported operating income or, if unavailable, EBIT calculated from reported pretax profit plus reported interest expense; exceptional/nonoperating gains are not normalized out. Share-based cost uses the reported cash-flow add-back or, if absent, separately reported recognized compensation expense; the latter never becomes an FCF adjustment. Nonpositive net income scores 0 for cash conversion; absent income/FCF stays unavailable. Nonpositive invested capital has no defined return and remains unavailable. Does not establish acquisition quality or buyback timing.

3-year pre-tax operating return (%)
22.34
3-year average dilution (%)
-0.97
3-year average SBC / revenue (%)
0.83
cashConversionGrade
90.14

Management—

Awaiting a sourced assessment under the current scoring policy and financial basis.

Evidence

Engine Products Engine Products utilizes advanced designs and techniques to support next-generation engine programs and produces components primarily for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines, including airfoils and seamless rolled rings.

Business—Engine Products; advanced designs and engine programs · Filed 12/02/2026

As of the end of 2025, the Company’s worldwide patent portfolio consisted of approximately 1,020 granted patents and 180 pending patent applications.

Business—Patents, Trade Secrets, and Trademarks; year-end 2025 portfolio · Filed 12/02/2026

The Company also has a significant number of trade secrets, mostly regarding manufacturing processes and material compositions that give many of its businesses important advantages in their markets.

Business—Patents, Trade Secrets, and Trademarks; manufacturing and materials know-how · Filed 12/02/2026

Howmet’s business as a whole is not, however, materially dependent on any single patent, trade secret, or trademark.

Business—Patents, Trade Secrets, and Trademarks; single-asset dependency · Filed 12/02/2026

As a result of product development and technological advancement, the Company continues to pursue patent protection in jurisdictions throughout the world.

Business—Patents, Trade Secrets, and Trademarks; continuing patent development · Filed 12/02/2026

Product price increases are in excess of inflationary cost pass through to our customers.

MD&A—2025 product pricing above inflationary cost pass-through · Filed 12/02/2026

Product price increases are in excess of material and inflationary cost pass through to our customers.

MD&A—2026 product pricing above material and inflationary cost pass-through · Filed 06/08/2026

Howmet’s customers may also change their business strategies or modify their business relationships with Howmet, including to reduce the amount of Howmet’s products they purchase, to switch to alternative suppliers, or to enter into the markets themselves to compete with Howmet.

Risk Factors—customer switching and potential customer integration · Filed 12/02/2026

As discussed in “Competitive Conditions” in Part I, Item 1 (Business) of this report, the markets for Howmet’s products are highly competitive.

Risk Factors—highly competitive product markets · Filed 12/02/2026

The willingness of customers to accept alternative solutions for the products sold by Howmet, pricing pressure from competitors, and technological advancements or other developments, including the use of AI, by or affecting Howmet’s competitors or customers could adversely affect Howmet’s business, financial condition, or results of operations.

Risk Factors—alternative solutions, pricing pressure and technological change · Filed 12/02/2026

Additionally, we may not be able to increase the prices of our products due to competitive pricing pressure and other factors.

Risk Factors—competitive constraints on price increases · Filed 12/02/2026

While we generally intend to pass along higher raw material and energy costs to our customers through contractual agreements in the form of price increases, there can be a delay between an increase in our costs and our ability to increase the prices of our products.

Risk Factors—contractual cost pass-through intentions and timing delays · Filed 12/02/2026

The increase was primarily due to higher sales in the commercial aerospace, defense aerospace, and gas turbines markets, including engine spares, and favorable product pricing, partially offset by lower volumes in the commercial transportation market.

MD&A—2025 sales drivers, engine spares and commercial transportation weakness · Filed 12/02/2026

The increase of $494, or 24%, in the second quarter of 2026 and the increase of $865, or 22% in the six months ended June 30, 2026, was primarily due to growth in the commercial and defense aerospace and gas turbines markets, including engine spares, favorable product pricing, cost pass through, and sales from the Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing, LLC (“CAM”) and Brunner Manufacturing Co.

MD&A—second-quarter and first-half 2026 growth drivers, including acquisitions · Filed 06/08/2026

Cost of goods sold (“COGS”). COGS as a percentage of Sales was 65.8% in 2025 compared with 68.9% in 2024.

MD&A—2025 versus 2024 COGS relative to sales · Filed 12/02/2026

COGS as a percentage of Sales was 68.9% in 2024 compared with 71.9% in 2023.

MD&A—2024 versus 2023 COGS relative to sales · Filed 12/02/2026

Cost of goods sold (“COGS”). COGS as a percentage of Sales was 62.7% in the second quarter of 2026 compared to 66.5% in the second quarter of 2025 and 62.9% in the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared to 66.5% in the six months ended June 30, 2025.

MD&A—second-quarter and first-half 2026 COGS relative to sales · Filed 06/08/2026

The decrease in the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2026 was primarily due to growth in the commercial and defense aerospace and gas turbines markets, favorable product pricing, partially offset by lower volumes in the commercial transportation market, higher cost pass through, and increased net headcount, primarily in the Engine Products segment, in support of expected revenue increases.

MD&A—2026 COGS improvement drivers and offsetting costs · Filed 06/08/2026

Additionally, the decrease includes the impact of the acquisitions and divestiture completed this year, including amortization expense of inventory step-up recorded in accordance with the allocation of purchase price under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”).

MD&A—acquisition and divestiture effects on COGS comparisons · Filed 06/08/2026

31 Segment Adjusted EBITDA Margin for the Forged Wheels segment increased approximately 180 basis points in the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared to the six months ended June 30, 2025, primarily due to cost reductions, including lower net headcount in response to lower volumes in the commercial transportation market, as well as favorable foreign currency exchange rates, partially offset by higher aluminum and other inflationary cost pass through.

Segment results—Forged Wheels cost reductions during weak demand · Filed 06/08/2026

Second quarter ended Six months ended June 30, June 30, 2026 2025 2026 2025 Total segment capital expenditures $ 100 $ 98 $ 191 $ 214 Corporate 4 4 7 7 Capital expenditures $ 104 $ 102 $ 198 $ 221 13 The following table disaggregates segment revenue by major market served.

Note D—actual segment and consolidated capital expenditures · Filed 06/08/2026

The following table provides details for share repurchases made for the periods presented: Number of shares(1) Average price per share(2) Total Q1 2026 open market repurchase 1,301,914 $ 230.43 $ 300 Q2 2026 open market repurchase 1,197,056 $ 250.61 $ 300 2026 open market repurchases as of June 30, 2026 2,498,970 $ 240.10 $ 600 Q1 2025 open market repurchase 1,006,102 $ 124.24 $ 125 Q2 2025 open market repurchase 1,229,313 $ 142.36 $ 175 2025 open market repurchases as of June 30, 2025 2,235,415 $ 134.20 $ 300 (1)All of the shares repurchased have been retired.

Note I—actual share repurchases and retirement · Filed 06/08/2026

The increase of $1,191, or 235%, was primarily due to additions to debt of $1,200 and a net increase in commercial paper of $450, partially offset by increased common stock repurchases of $300, increased payments on debt of $109, increased taxes paid for the net share settlement of equity awards of $21 primarily due to the timing of payments year over year, and increased dividends paid to common stock shareholders of $14 due to a $0.02 increase in dividends per common share, from $0.10 per share in the second quarter of 2025 to $0.12 per share in the second quarter of 2026, and debt issuance costs of $12.

MD&A—financing activity, debt additions and shareholder distributions · Filed 06/08/2026

The increase of $1,688, or 796%, was primarily due to cash used for the CAM and Brunner acquisitions, net of cash acquired, of $1,929, partially offset by an increase in proceeds from the sale of assets and businesses of $217, primarily due to the sale of its disk forging facility, and a decrease in capital expenditures of $23.

MD&A—acquisition spending, divestiture proceeds and capital expenditures · Filed 06/08/2026

As of June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, the Company was in compliance with all covenants under the Revolving Credit Agreements.

Note O—revolving credit covenant compliance · Filed 06/08/2026

Individual NEO performance is assessed, and an individual multiplier is applied to the funded payout results, thus allocating the incentive pool across the eligible population ​ ​ ​ Long- Term ​ ​ LONG-TERM INCENTIVE COMPENSATION ​ ​ ▪ Make LTI equity the most significant portion of total compensation for senior executives and managers ​ ▪ Set equity target grant levels in line with industry peers that are competitive to attract, retain and motivate executives and factor in individual performance and future potential for long-term retention ​ ​ ​ ▪ NEO long-term incentives are granted as 40% time-vested restricted share units (RSUs) and 60% performance-based restricted share units (PRSUs) ​ ▪ Financial metrics used are aligned with driving long-term stock price performance and are measured over three years ​ ▪ A standalone relative Total Shareholder Return (“TSR”) metric is used to further reinforce shareholder alignment ​ ​ COMPENSATION LEVELS Base salaries and target incentive compensation levels are designed to attract, motivate, reward and retain executive talent, as well as to align pay with performance.

Executive Compensation—long-term award structure and performance period · Filed 06/04/2026

​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Payout Level ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Measure ​ ​ Threshold (payout = 50%) ​ ​ Target (payout = 100%) ​ ​ Maximum (payout = 200%) ​ ​ Result ​ ​ Weighted Payout ​ ​ Three-Year Increase in Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items (1/3 Weight) ​ ​ $160M ​ ​ $240M ​ ​ $320M ​ ​ 2022 Baseline = $1,276M 2025 Result = $2,416M Increase = $1,140M ​ ​ ~67% ​ ​ Three-Year Cumulative Adjusted EPS excluding special items (1/3 Weight) ​ ​ $4.38 ​ ​ $5.15 ​ ​ $5.92 ​ ​ 2022 EPS = $1.84 2024 EPS = $2.69 2025 EPS = $3.77 Cumulative EPS = $8.30 ​ ​ ~67% ​ ​ Relative TSR (1/3 Weight) ​ ​ 25th Percentile of PRSU Peer Group ​ ​ Median PRSU Peer Group ​ ​ 75th Percentile of PRSU Peer Group ​ ​ Final TSR = +423% 100th Percentile of PRSU Peer Group ​ ​ ~67% ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Result: ​ ​ 200% ​ The payout for the 2023 PRSUs was 200% as performance for all the metrics exceeded maximum.

Executive Compensation—2023 PRSU performance results and actual payout · Filed 06/04/2026

NO SHORT SALES, DERIVATIVE TRANSACTIONS OR HEDGING ​ We do not allow short sales or derivative or speculative transactions in, or hedging of, Company securities by our directors, officers or employees.

Executive Compensation—prohibition on hedging and speculative transactions · Filed 06/04/2026

​ ​ ​ ​ ​ BOARD LEADERSHIP ​ ​ ​ ​ ▪ Current Board leadership structure comprises an Executive Chairman of the Board, an independent Lead Director and independent chairs of each Board Committee.

Corporate Governance—current Board leadership structure · Filed 06/04/2026

​ ​ ​ ​ ​ BOARD ENGAGEMENT ​ ​ ​ ​ ▪ Attendance: ​ ▫ All directors attended more than 75% of Board and their respective Committee meetings in 2025; director attendance in 2025 averaged 96.4%.

Corporate Governance—actual 2025 Board and committee attendance · Filed 06/04/2026

26 | HOWMET AEROSPACE 2026 PROXY STATEMENT TABLE OF CONTENTS Corporate Governance​ ​ HOWMET AEROSPACE 2026 PROXY STATEMENT | 27 TABLE OF CONTENTS​ Corporate Governance ​ COMMITTEES OF THE BOARD Each of the Audit, Compensation and Benefits, Governance and Nominating, Cybersecurity, and Finance Committees is composed solely of directors who have been determined by the Board of Directors to be independent in accordance with SEC regulations, NYSE listing standards and the Company’s Director Independence Standards (including the heightened independence standards for members of the Audit and Compensation and Benefits Committees).

Corporate Governance—independent Board committees · Filed 06/04/2026

​ ▪ No supermajority voting provisions in the Company’s Certificate of Incorporation or Bylaws.

Corporate Governance—absence of supermajority voting provisions · Filed 06/04/2026

and subsidiaries Statement of Consolidated Operations (unaudited) (in millions, except per-share amounts) Second quarter ended Six months ended June 30, June 30, 2026 2025 2026 2025 Sales (D) $ 2,547 $ 2,053 $ 4,860 $ 3,995 Cost of goods sold (exclusive of expenses below) 1,596 1,365 3,055 2,655 Selling, general administrative, and other expenses 148 89 259 174 Research and development expenses 8 9 17 17 Provision for depreciation and amortization 84 69 158 138 Restructuring and other credits (E) — — (93) (4) Operating income 711 521 1,464 1,015 Interest expense, net 51 38 94 77 Other expense, net (G) 11 14 13 23 Income before income taxes 649 469 1,357 915 Provision for income taxes (H) 115 62 243 164 Net income $ 534 $ 407 $ 1,114 $ 751 Amounts Attributable to Howmet Aerospace Common Shareholders (I): Net income $ 534 $ 407 $ 1,114 $ 750 Earnings per share: Basic $ 1.33 $ 1.01 $ 2.78 $ 1.85 Diluted $ 1.33 $ 1.00 $ 2.77 $ 1.84 Average Shares Outstanding (I): Basic 400 404 400 404 Diluted 402 406 402 407 The accompanying notes are an integral part of the consolidated financial statements.

Unaudited consolidated operations—2026 and 2025 sales, earnings and restructuring credits · Filed 06/08/2026

Boeing production rates have had and are expected to have a material impact on the financial performance of Howmet.

Risk Factors—actual and expected financial sensitivity to Boeing production · Filed 12/02/2026

Publication history

Publication history
VersionUpdatedCompetitive advantage
523/10/2026narrow
422/10/2026narrow
318/10/2026narrow
218/10/2026narrow
118/10/2026Unavailable

Sources

Research methodology and limitations · What is an economic moat?